TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs KF Valur, 2016

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Championship 2016/17 · 2016

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

2 – 1

Full Time

KF Valur

Tue 18 Oct 2016 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs KF Valur — Championship .

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 games · 0 pts
KF Valur 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2.60

Draw 3.40

KF Valur 2.90

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals KF Valur

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–1 KF Valur

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	KF Valur	H	2–1	W
15 Oct	SK Sturm Graz	H	0–0	D
01 Oct	SK Slavia Praha	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–1	L
24 Sep	FC CFR 1907 Cluj	A	2–1	W
17 Sep	Olympique Lyonnais	H	4–2	W

KF Valur

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	1–2	L
14 Oct	SK Slavia Praha	H	3–1	W
01 Oct	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	1–2	L
27 Sep	FK BATE Barysau	H	1–1	D
24 Sep	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	1–2	L
17 Sep	AFC Ajax	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are looking to make home advantage count against KF Valur.
KF Valur will have plenty to reflect on. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim were simply the better side today.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

KF Valur Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.58 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.03 KF Valur xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim51% Draw26% KF Valur23%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

78%

Draw or KF Valur

49%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or KF Valur

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34% Draw47% KF Valur19%

Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

10.7%

0 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.6%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	KF Valur covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

KF Valur keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.