Shonan Bellmare vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Sat 10 Sep 2016 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Primeira Liga .

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Shonan Bellmare 2.10

Draw 3.10

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3.75

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Last 5 meetings

2016-09-10 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2016-05-08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–2 Shonan Bellmare 2016-01-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2015-01-30 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–1 Shonan Bellmare 2014-08-23 Shonan Bellmare 3–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	H	2–1	W
27 Aug	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–0	D
14 Aug	FC Tokyo	A	0–2	L
14 May	Vegalta Sendai	H	2–1	W
08 May	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–2	D

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
04 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–1	L
27 Aug	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–3	L
21 Aug	PFK Levski Sofia	A	0–2	L
15 May	Kashiwa Reysol	A	1–4	L
08 May	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–2	D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Shonan Bellmare launch into their encounter with FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Full Time. Shonan Bellmare beats FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2016-09-10 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius W 2016-08-27 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2016-08-19 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo D 2016-08-14 FC Tokyo 2–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2016-05-14 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Vegalta Sendai W 2016-05-08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form

2016-09-10 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2016-09-04 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2016-08-27 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–3 Kashiwa Reysol L 2016-08-21 PFK Levski Sofia 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2016-05-15 Kashiwa Reysol 4–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2016-05-08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–2 Shonan Bellmare D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare54% Draw25% FK Zalgiris Vilnius21%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

79%

Draw or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

46%

Shonan Bellmare or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare36% Draw46% FK Zalgiris Vilnius18%

Actual: FK Zalgiris Vilnius win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.8%

0 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

1 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

3 – 0

4.8%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	FK Zalgiris Vilnius covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

FK Zalgiris Vilnius keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.