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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka, 2017

Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017
Sat 25 Nov 2017 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Gamba Osaka — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.90
Draw 3.50
Gamba Osaka 3.89

Head-to-Head

11
4
5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 20 games · Avg 2.5 goals Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
04 Nov Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–1 D
30 Oct FC Tōkyō H 5–2 W
23 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 3–3 D
30 Sep Sagan Tosu FC H 2–2 D
22 Sep Kashima Antlers A 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
04 Nov Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–2 W
28 Oct V-Varen Nagasaki A 0–2 L
22 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
29 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–1 D
24 Sep Jubilo Iwata H 1–2 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Gamba Osaka Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima60% Draw24% Gamba Osaka16%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
84%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
40%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Gamba Osaka
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42% Draw46% Gamba Osaka12%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Handicap Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
48%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.