Thursday , 1 October 2026

Port Vale FC vs Mansfield Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Mansfield Town FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Chilowicz
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Mansfield Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Mansfield Town FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Exeter City FC A 2–0 W
06 Sep Leyton Orient FC H 2–3 L
30 Aug Reading FC A 0–1 L
23 Aug Doncaster Rovers FC H 0–1 L
19 Aug Stevenage FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Port Vale FC A 1–2 L
13 Sep Stevenage FC H 1–1 D
06 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
30 Aug Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
23 Aug Leyton Orient FC H 4–1 W
19 Aug Blackpool FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mansfield Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
Nathan Moriah-Welsh 2 G 2 A
Jonathan Russell 2 G 1 A
Michael Smith 2 G
Louis Reed 2 G
Rhys Oates 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Port Vale FC Lineups

Mansfield Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Mansfield Town FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC47% Draw27% Mansfield Town FC26%
Actual: Port Vale FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Mansfield Town FC
53%
Port Vale FC or Mansfield Town FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC33% Draw47% Mansfield Town FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Mansfield Town FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Mansfield Town FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.