PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk, 2016

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League One 2016/17 · 2016

PFC CSKA Moskva

1 – 4

Full Time

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

Tue 21 Feb 2017 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk — Premier League .

PFC CSKA Moskva 0 games · 0 pts
FK Shakhtar Donetsk 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

PFC CSKA Moskva 2.50

Draw 3.40

FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3.00

Head-to-Head

PFC CSKA Moskva 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals FK Shakhtar Donetsk

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-21 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–4 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2016-10-01 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 PFC CSKA Moskva 2016-01-15 PFC CSKA Moskva 0–0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2015-09-04 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 PFC CSKA Moskva

Recent Form

PFC CSKA Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	H	1–4	L
18 Feb	FC Porto	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Romania	H	2–1	W
11 Feb	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	0–1	L
04 Feb	Germany	A	3–0	W
28 Jan	Shaftesbury FC	H	0–4	L

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	4–1	W
18 Feb	Albania	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	FC Viktoria Plzen	A	2–0	W
11 Feb	Rosenborg BK	A	0–1	L
04 Feb	France	H	3–1	W
28 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: PFC CSKA Moskva gets underway.
1-4 the final result. PFC CSKA Moskva will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

PFC CSKA Moskva Lineups

FK Shakhtar Donetsk Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

PFC CSKA Moskva Form

2017-02-21 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–4 FK Shakhtar Donetsk L 2017-02-18 FC Porto 2–0 PFC CSKA Moskva L 2017-02-14 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–1 Romania W 2017-02-11 PFC CSKA Moskva 0–1 FC Red Bull Salzburg L 2017-02-04 Germany 0–3 PFC CSKA Moskva W 2017-01-28 PFC CSKA Moskva 0–4 Shaftesbury FC L

FK Shakhtar Donetsk Form

2017-02-21 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–4 FK Shakhtar Donetsk W 2017-02-18 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 2–2 Albania D 2017-02-14 FC Viktoria Plzen 0–2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk W 2017-02-11 Rosenborg BK 1–0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk L 2017-02-04 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1 France W 2017-01-28 FC Bayern München 1–1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.06 PFC CSKA Moskva xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 FK Shakhtar Donetsk xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

PFC CSKA Moskva26% Draw28% FK Shakhtar Donetsk46%

Actual: FK Shakhtar Donetsk win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw

53%

Draw or FK Shakhtar Donetsk

74%

PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Shakhtar Donetsk

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

PFC CSKA Moskva19% Draw46% FK Shakhtar Donetsk35%

Actual: FK Shakhtar Donetsk win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.7%

0 – 1

10.2%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

8.8%

0 – 0

8.8%

1 – 0

6.3%

2 – 1

1 – 3

2 – 2

4.9%

0 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva

Handicap	PFC CSKA Moskva covers	Push	FK Shakhtar Donetsk covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	23%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

FK Shakhtar Donetsk keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.