Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 7,964 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Harris 76' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FCLeague One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Oxford United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
07 May Accrington Stanley FC H 1–2 L
29 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–0 W
25 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 4–0 W
22 Apr Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L
05 Nov Tranmere Rovers FC H 2–1 W
06 Nov Horsham FC H 2–0 W
29 Nov Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kassam Stadium!
  • 5' Jordan Gibson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Carlisle United FC so far.
  • 10' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fin Back made 372 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Carlisle United FC have won 53 goals from 57 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' Cameron Brannagan, a England , has 67 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' Carlisle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 60.
  • 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fin Back.
  • 67' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Browne is withdrawn and Stanley Mills gets his opportunity.
  • 70' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Butterworth is hanging Jordan Gibson on the field on 70 minute.
  • 73' Paul Huntington picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Tyler Goodrham. He replaces Billy Bodin on 75 minute.
  • 76' Mark Harris does the damage! The net is bulging and Oxford United FC surge ahead!
  • 80' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Joe Garner comes on to replace Ryan Edmondson.
  • 85' It is a cagey affair so far. Oxford United FC in their trying to find a way past Carlisle United FC's compact .
  • 88' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Jayden Harris comes on to replace Callum Guy.
  • 90' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gatlin O'Donkor is hanging Mark Harris on the field on 90 minute.
  • 1-0 the final result. Carlisle United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC52% Draw29% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
48%
Oxford United FC or Carlisle United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC34% Draw53% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
50%
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.