Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 7,964 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Harris 76' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeremy Simpson
  • Assistant 1 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Oxford United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
07 May Accrington Stanley FC H 1–2 L
29 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–0 W
25 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 4–0 W
22 Apr Barnsley FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L
05 Nov Tranmere Rovers FC H 2–1 W
06 Nov Horsham FC H 2–0 W
29 Nov Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Kassam Stadium!
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Jayden Harris, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Oxford United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carlisle United FC backline.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Taylor Charters has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Callum Guy is booked for Carlisle United FC — card on 51.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Oxford United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' The referee shows Carlisle United FC player a card on 60.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Fin Back.
  • 67' The whistle greets Marcus Browne as he departs to be replaced by Stanley Mills.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Daniel Butterworth comes on to replace Jordan Gibson.
  • 73' That looks like a foul for a card for Paul Huntington.
  • 75' Tyler Goodrham is ready to make an impact after coming on for Billy Bodin at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' Mark Harris adds to his 3 season tally! Oxford United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' Carlisle United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Garner is hanging Ryan Edmondson on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Billy Bodin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
  • 88' Jayden Harris gets the nod from Carlisle United FC. He replaces Callum Guy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 90 minute. Mark Harris leaves to be changed by Gatlin O'Donkor.
  • With this win, Oxford United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC52% Draw29% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
48%
Oxford United FC or Carlisle United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC34% Draw53% Carlisle United FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.