Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2023-24

Oxford United FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Carlisle United FC

Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 7,964 HT 45' · FT 45'

Mark Harris 76' 1–0

Y 51' Callum Guy

Y 60' Alfie McCalmont

Y 62' Fin Back

Y 73' Paul Huntington

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Kassam Stadium.

Oxford United FC 13 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Carlisle United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jeremy Simpson
Assistant 1 Johnathon Bickerdike (England)
Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Carlisle United FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-08-12 Oxford United FC 1–0 Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Aug	Carlisle United FC	H	1–0	W
05 Aug	Cambridge United FC	A	0–2	L
07 May	Accrington Stanley FC	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Forest Green Rovers FC	A	3–0	W
25 Apr	Cheltenham Town FC	H	4–0	W
22 Apr	Barnsley FC	A	0–2	L

Carlisle United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Aug	Oxford United FC	A	0–1	L
05 Aug	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–1	D
26 Nov	Walsall FC	A	1–2	L
05 Nov	Tranmere Rovers FC	H	2–1	W
06 Nov	Horsham FC	H	2–0	W
29 Nov	Doncaster Rovers FC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

3/2

76+

9/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC

Mark Harris	6 G	1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor	4 G	2 A
Cameron Brannagan	2 G
Ciaron Brown	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Oxford United FC and Carlisle United FC is underway.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stephan Negru suffering a number of foals already.
20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oxford United FC and Carlisle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
25' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
35' Carlisle United FC have won 53 goals from 57 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Liam Manning will be considering his options from the bench.
45' Jordan Gibson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Carlisle United FC so far.
50' Carlisle United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
51' That is a card for Carlisle United FC. Callum Guy will be fuming at that decision.
56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Carlisle United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
60' Poor challenge from Alfie McCalmont. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
62' That is a card for Carlisle United FC. Fin Back will be fuming at that decision.
67' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Marcus Browne is replaced by Stanley Mills.
70' Carlisle United FC make a change. Jordan Gibson trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Butterworth on 70 minutes.
73' That looks like a foul for a card for Paul Huntington.
75' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Billy Bodin is replaced by Tyler Goodrham on 75 minute.
76' Magnificent from Mark Harris! That is 36 goals in 22 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
80' Another substitution for Carlisle United FC to replace Ryan Edmondson by Joe Garner on 80 minute.
85' Carlisle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
88' Carlisle United FC make a change. Callum Guy trudges off to be replaced by Jayden Harris on 88 minutes.
90' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 90 minute. Mark Harris leaves to be changed by Gatlin O'Donkor.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Oxford United FC take all three points.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

13
Simon Eastwood
18
Marcus McGuane ↑ 75'
39
Gatlin O'Donkor ↑ 90'
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 75'
14
Oisin Smyth
7
Stanley Mills ↑ 67'
15
Fin Stevens

Coach Liam Manning

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Jon Mellish
6
Paul Huntington ↓ Luke Plange 80'
9
Ryan Edmondson ↓ Joe Garner 80'
1
Tomas Holy
8
Callum Guy ↓ Jayden Harris 88'
5
Sam Lavelle
10
Alfie McCalmont
15
Taylor Charters
3
Jack Armer
2
Fin Back
7
Jordan Gibson ↓ Daniel Butterworth 70'

Bench

26
Ben Barclay
11
Daniel Butterworth ↑ 70'
14
Joe Garner ↑ 80'
17
Corey Whelan
16
Jayden Harris ↑ 88'
99
Jokull Andresson
27
Luke Plange ↑ 80'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mark Harris	3
Tyler Goodrham	1
Alfie McCalmont	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.35 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.7 Carlisle United FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC52% Draw29% Carlisle United FC19%

Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes38% 0% No62%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Carlisle United FC

48%

Oxford United FC or Carlisle United FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC34% Draw53% Carlisle United FC13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

15.2%

1 – 1

13%

2 – 0

11.3%

2 – 1

0 – 1

7.7%

3 – 0

1 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

2.9%

2 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	16%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	26%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	13%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

50% ✓

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Oxford United FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Oxford United FC Form

Carlisle United FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Clean Sheet