OGC Nice vs SM Caen, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Jerome Miguelgorry
- Referee Johan Hamel
- Referee Eric Danizan
- Referee Christophe Mouysset
- Referee Antoine Valnet
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | SM Caen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Apr | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Toulouse FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Olympique de Marseille | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr | OGC Nice | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Angers SCO | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Nimes Olympique | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | AS Monaco FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | AS Saint-Étienne | H | 0–5 | L |
| 10 Mar | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and OGC Nice launch into their encounter with SM Caen.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Fabien Mercadal will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. OGC Nice and SM Caen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. OGC Nice needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Pierre Lees Melou argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 21' Prince Oniangue has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
- 27' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Alexander Djiku on 27 minutes.
- 32' OGC Nice are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SM Caen's shape.
- 37' It looks surprising SM Caen does not make any changes. Saif-Eddine Khaoui has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 52' It is a cagey affair so far. OGC Nice in their trying to find a way past SM Caen's compact .
- 57' Jonathan Gradit has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 399 appearances.
- 60' A moment of madness from Casimir Ninga on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
- 63' The SM Caen bench stirs into life. Saif-Eddine Khaoui is withdrawn and Malik Tchokounte gets his opportunity.
- 67' The crowd applauds Bassem Srarfi as he leaves the pitch. Ihsan Sacko steps in for OGC de Nice Cote d'Azur.
- 72' The home supporters are growing impatient. OGC Nice must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 74' Alexander Djiku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 77' The OGC de Nice Cote d'Azur manager makes a substitution. Patrick Burner departs to be replaced by Pedro Brazao.
- 78' Frederic Guilbert has so much to prove this time. He replaces Enzo Crivelli on 78 minute.
- 80' Fresh legs for OGC de Nice Cote d'Azur! Assil Jaziri comes on to replace Remi Walter.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoel Armougom on 85.
- 89' Dante catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 89.
- SM Caen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 40
- 23
- 31
- 15
- 5
- 8
- 7
- 29
- 6
- 20
Bench
- 28
- 16
- 12
- 27
- 18
- 33
- 34
Coach
Patrick Vieira
SM Caen Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 7
- 30
-
5
Baissama Sankoh ↓ Yoel Armougom 67'
- 24
- 17
- 27
- 11
- 6
- 15
- 33
Bench
-
19
Malik Tchokounte ↑ 63'
- 29
-
21
Frederic Guilbert ↑ 78'
-
3
Yoel Armougom ↑ 67'
- 9
- 1
- 34
Coach
Fabien Mercadal
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ignatius Ganago | 1 |
| Yacine Bammou | 1 |
| Yacine Bammou | 1 |
| Ignatius Ganago | 1 |
| Alexander Djiku | 1 |
OGC Nice Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1
OGC Nice xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
SM Caen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 69% + OGC Nice or Draw 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: SM Caen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 1.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
OGC Nice or Draw
69%
Draw or SM Caen
64%
OGC Nice or SM Caen
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.6%
1 – 1
14.5%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.2%
3 – 0
2.2%
1 – 3
2%
Asian Handicap — OGC Nice
| Handicap | OGC Nice covers | Push | SM Caen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 20% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

