Northern Ireland vs Borussia Dortmund, 2016

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League One 2016/17 · 2016

Northern Ireland

2 – 1

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Sat 18 Feb 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Northern Ireland vs Borussia Dortmund — Premier League .

Northern Ireland 0 games · 0 pts
Borussia Dortmund 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Northern Ireland 2.50

Draw 3.30

Borussia Dortmund 2.80

Head-to-Head

Northern Ireland 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-18 Northern Ireland 2–1 Borussia Dortmund 2016-09-24 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Northern Ireland 2016-04-02 Borussia Dortmund 0–0 Northern Ireland 2015-11-20 Northern Ireland 4–1 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Northern Ireland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	Hebburn Town FC	A	1–1	D
11 Feb	AS Roma	A	2–3	L
04 Feb	Rosenborg BK	H	0–2	L
28 Jan	Albania	A	0–3	L
21 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	0–1	L

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Feb	Northern Ireland	A	1–2	L
14 Feb	Croatia	H	1–1	D
11 Feb	Germany	H	1–1	D
04 Feb	Paris Saint-Germain FC	A	2–2	D
28 Jan	Romania	H	1–1	D
21 Jan	FC Red Bull Salzburg	A	2–2	D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Northern Ireland are looking to make home advantage count against Borussia Dortmund.
With this win, Northern Ireland is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Northern Ireland Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

Northern Ireland Form

2017-02-18 Northern Ireland 2–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2017-02-14 Hebburn Town FC 1–1 Northern Ireland D 2017-02-11 AS Roma 3–2 Northern Ireland L 2017-02-04 Northern Ireland 0–2 Rosenborg BK L 2017-01-28 Albania 3–0 Northern Ireland L 2017-01-21 Northern Ireland 0–1 FC Bayern München L

Borussia Dortmund Form

2017-02-18 Northern Ireland 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2017-02-14 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Croatia D 2017-02-11 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Germany D 2017-02-04 Paris Saint-Germain FC 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2017-01-28 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Romania D 2017-01-21 FC Red Bull Salzburg 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.47 Northern Ireland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Northern Ireland45% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund28%

Actual: Northern Ireland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Northern Ireland or Draw

72%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

55%

Northern Ireland or Borussia Dortmund

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Northern Ireland31% Draw47% Borussia Dortmund22%

Actual: Northern Ireland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.5%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Northern Ireland

Handicap	Northern Ireland covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	21%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Northern Ireland keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.