Saturday , 14 November 2026

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 1

Tue 11 Jul 2023 · 18:00 UTC Stozice Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 35' Ruan Ribeiro

Overview

Match Preview

NK Olimpija Ljubljana vs Valmiera FC — Champions League Q at Stozice Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrei Chivulete

Head-to-Head

2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Valmiera FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul Valmiera FC H 2–1 W
17 Sep HSK Zrinjski Mostar H 2–3 L
27 Aug KF Vikingur H 2–1 W
01 Aug Yeni Malatyaspor H 0–1 L
25 Jul Yeni Malatyaspor A 2–2 D
18 Jul FK Rigas Futbola Skola A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jul NK Olimpija Ljubljana A 1–2 L
27 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 0–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Valmiera FC get us underway at Stozice Stadium.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Valmiera FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Austria international Ahmet Muhamedbegovic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' The -year-old Ivan Zhelizko has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' Valmiera FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' Poor challenge from Ruan Ribeiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' Mustafa Nukic adds to his 0 season tally! NK Olimpija Ljubljana lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 47' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 52' Marcel Ratnik is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valmiera FC so far.
  • 57' NK Olimpija Ljubljana are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' Valmiera FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Rifet Kapic is hanging Victor Diagne on the field on 65 minute.
  • 67' Pape Yare Fall has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvis Jaunzems on 67 minute.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' Magnificent from Rui Pedro! That is 2 goals in 183 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' Rifet Kapic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for NK Olimpija Ljubljana tonight.
  • 84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Meissa Diop — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' NK Olimpija Ljubljana ring the changes. Jorge Silva has done his job and it is now time for Justas Lasickas to step up.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Valmiera FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Valmiera FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
NK Olimpija Ljubljana52% Draw25% Valmiera FC23%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw
78%
Draw or Valmiera FC
48%
NK Olimpija Ljubljana or Valmiera FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NK Olimpija Ljubljana36% Draw46% Valmiera FC18%
Actual: NK Olimpija Ljubljana win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — NK Olimpija Ljubljana

Handicap NK Olimpija Ljubljana covers Push Valmiera FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

NK Olimpija Ljubljana keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Valmiera FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.