Millwall FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Bournemouth 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Referee Mark Russell
- Referee Samuel Lewis
- Referee Keith Stroud
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Apr | Brentford FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Apr | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | Stoke City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Rotherham United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Millwall FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Apr | Norwich City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: AFC Bournemouth gets underway.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Bournemouth is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 16' A stunning finish from Philip Billing — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 21' Steve Cook, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Sam Surridge has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Magnificent from Arnaut Danjuma! That is 53 goals in 351 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jonathan Woodgate will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 40' A tactical swap from AFC Bournemouth — Diego Rico on, Lloyd Kelly off on 40 minutes.
- 44' GOAL! David Brooks scores on 44. Assisted by Dominic Solanke
- 46' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Connor Mahoney is hanging Alex Pearce on the field on 46 minute.
- 46' Millwall FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 46.
- 49' The England Jed Wallace breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 1-3!
- 54' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' Asmir Begovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Jake Cooper argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 67' Goal! Dominic Solanke scores his 92 goal in 409 matches.
- 68' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Junior Stanislas comes on to replace Arnaut Danjuma.
- 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Ryan Woods by Shaun Williams on 78 minute.
- 80' The referee shows Millwall FC player a Yellow card on 80.
- 85' Adam Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Brooks on 85 minute.
- 90' Alex Pearce has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AFC Bournemouth to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Ryan Woods ↓ Shaun Williams 78'
- 5
-
7
Jed Wallace ↓ Tyler Burey 78'
-
15
Alex Pearce C ↓ Connor Mahoney 46'
- 28
- 14
-
13
Kenneth Zohore ↓ Tom Bradshaw 78'
- 33
- 16
- 23
- 24
Bench
- 1
- 22
-
32
Tyler Burey ↑ 78'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 78'
- 12
-
6
Shaun Williams ↑ 78'
- 20
-
21
Connor Mahoney ↑ 46'
- 35
Coach
Gary Rowett
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Lloyd Kelly ↓ Diego Rico 40'
- 10
-
9
Dominic Solanke ↓ Sam Surridge 68'
- 29
- 8
-
7
David Brooks ↓ Adam Smith 85'
- 1
- 3
- 18
-
22
Ben Pearson ↓ Jack Wilshere 85'
- 17
Bench
-
21
Diego Rico ↑ 40'
-
15
Adam Smith ↑ 85'
-
19
Junior Stanislas ↑ 68'
- 23
-
11
Jack Wilshere ↑ 85'
- 6
-
14
Sam Surridge ↑ 68'
- 20
- 32
Coach
Jonathan Woodgate
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dominic Solanke | 3 |
| Kieffer Moore | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| Jed Wallace | 1 |
| Arnaut Danjuma | 1 |
| Philip Billing | 1 |
| David Brooks | 1 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
Millwall FC Form
AFC Bournemouth Form
2021-04-21
Millwall FC
1–4
AFC Bournemouth
W
2021-04-17
Norwich City FC
1–3
AFC Bournemouth
W
2021-04-13
Huddersfield Town AFC
1–2
AFC Bournemouth
W
2021-04-10
AFC Bournemouth
4–1
Coventry City FC
W
2021-04-05
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–2
AFC Bournemouth
W
2021-04-02
AFC Bournemouth
3–1
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Bournemouth win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
50%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
76%
Millwall FC or AFC Bournemouth
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | AFC Bournemouth covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.