Málaga CF vs Real Valladolid CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Segunda Division · 2025-26

Málaga CF

3 – 3

Full Time

Real Valladolid CF

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs Real Valladolid CF — Segunda Division .

Málaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Real Valladolid CF 42 games · 46 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alejandro Morilla Turrion (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Real Racing Club de Santander	42	82
2	RC Deportivo La Coruña	42	77
3	UD Almería	42	75
4	Málaga CF	42	73
5	UD Las Palmas	42	73
6	CD Castellon	42	72
7	Burgos CF	42	72
8	SD Eibar	42	67
9	Real Sporting de Gijon	42	61
10	Cordoba CF	42	61
11	Albacete Balompie	42	59
12	AD Ceuta FC	42	59
13	Andorra CF	42	58
14	Granada CF	42	48
15	Real Sociedad B	42	47
16	CD Leganes	42	46
17	Real Valladolid CF	42	46
18	Cadiz CF	42	43
19	CD Mirandés	42	40
20	SD Huesca	42	38
21	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	42	37
22	Real Zaragoza	42	36

Head-to-Head

Málaga CF 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Real Valladolid CF

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Málaga CF 3–3 Real Valladolid CF 2025-11-29 Real Valladolid CF 1–1 Málaga CF

Recent Form

Málaga CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Real Valladolid CF	H	3–3	D
28 Feb	Granada CF	A	1–0	W
22 Feb	Albacete Balompie	H	1–0	W
16 Feb	Real Sociedad B	A	1–2	L
08 Feb	Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa	H	2–1	W
02 Feb	CD Mirandés	A	1–2	L

Real Valladolid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Málaga CF	A	3–3	D
28 Feb	SD Huesca	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Real Sporting de Gijon	A	2–2	D
14 Feb	Granada CF	A	1–5	L
08 Feb	CD Castellon	H	0–4	L
31 Jan	Cordoba CF	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Málaga CF		Real Valladolid CF
#4	Position	#17
73	Points	46
42	Played	42
21 / 10 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 20
75	Scored	44
52	Conceded	57
+23	GD	-13
1.74	PPG	1.10
50%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts). Real Valladolid CF are 17th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Malaga CF welcome Real Valladolid CF for this crunch clash at .
The points are shared — Malaga CF 3-3 Real Valladolid CF. Honours even.

Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

Real Valladolid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.31 Málaga CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Real Valladolid CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Málaga CF54% Draw22% Real Valladolid CF24%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw

76%

Draw or Real Valladolid CF

46%

Málaga CF or Real Valladolid CF

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Málaga CF42% Draw38% Real Valladolid CF20%

Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 1

8.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.8%

4 – 1

3.9%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap	Málaga CF covers	Push	Real Valladolid CF covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	20%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	12%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Real Valladolid CF keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.