Italy vs Argentina, Women World Cup 2023 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Italy vs Argentina — Women World Cup at Eden Park.
Match Details
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee Melissa Borjas Pastrana (Honduras)
15 games this season
🟨 2.5/game
⚽ 8.9 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Argentina this season
Argentina this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Italy
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Argentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Arianna Caruso | 2 G | |
| Cristiana Girelli | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Eden Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Italy and Argentina.
- 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' international Giulia Dragoni has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 12' It’s gonna be a card for Mariana Larroquette.
- 17' It is a cagey affair so far. Italy in their trying to find a way past Argentina's compact .
- 22' Argentina are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 26' The referee calls foul for Arianna Caruso. He receives a card.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Argentina that had 3 games and scored 2 goals.
- 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 41' Italy are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Argentina backline.
- 46' Sophia Braun, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Italy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Giada Greggi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arianna Caruso on 58 minute.
- 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' That is a card for Argentina. Miriam Mayorga will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Daiana Falfan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 74' Sofia Cantore has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valentina Giacinti on 74 minute.
- 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Florencia Bonsegundo on 76.
- 77' Yamila Tamara Rodriguez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Romina Nunez at the 77 minute mark.
- 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 83' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Giulia Dragoni departs to be replaced by Cristiana Girelli.
- 85' Poor challenge from Barbara Bonansea. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' The deadlock is broken! Cristiana Girelli gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Eliana Stabile on 90.
- 90' A change in the Argentina ranks — Daiana Falfan exits the field as Dalila Ippolito enters on 90.
- Argentina will have plenty to reflect on. Italy were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
- 4
- 5
- 23
- 8
-
18
Arianna Caruso ↓ Giada Greggi 58'
- 16
- 6
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 12
- 1
- 13
- 3
- 21
-
20
Giada Greggi ↑ 58'
- 19
- 2
-
7
Sofia Cantore ↑ 74'
-
10
Cristiana Girelli ↑ 83'
- 11
- 15
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 14
- 3
- 13
- 16
- 15
-
8
Daiana Falfan ↓ Dalila Ippolito 90'
- 7
- 22
- 19
Bench
- 23
- 12
- 18
- 4
- 2
- 17
-
10
Dalila Ippolito ↑ 90'
- 5
-
9
Paulina Gramaglia ↑ 90'
- 21
-
11
Yamila Tamara Rodriguez ↑ 77'
- 20
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53
Argentina xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 76% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
83%
Draw or Argentina
48%
Italy or Argentina
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 2
2.3%
2 – 2
1.9%
4 – 0
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Argentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 15% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 12% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
59%
✓
Argentina keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
