Hertha BSC vs SC Freiburg, 2016

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Primera Division 2016/17 · 2016

Hertha BSC

1 – 0

Full Time

SC Freiburg

Thu 2 Mar 2017 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs SC Freiburg — La Liga .

Hertha BSC 0 games · 0 pts
SC Freiburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Hertha BSC 1.67

Draw 3.80

SC Freiburg 5.25

Head-to-Head

Hertha BSC 19 games · Avg 3.0 goals SC Freiburg

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-02 Hertha BSC 1–0 SC Freiburg 2016-09-24 SC Freiburg 3–1 Hertha BSC 2016-05-14 SC Freiburg 3–1 Hertha BSC 2016-01-09 Hertha BSC 2–0 SC Freiburg 2015-04-04 Hertha BSC 2–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

Hertha BSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	SC Freiburg	H	1–0	W
25 Feb	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	A	2–1	W
22 Feb	KF Shkendija 79	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	Aizawl FC	H	2–0	W
12 Feb	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	A	1–0	W
05 Feb	Gokulam Kerala FC	H	0–0	D

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Hertha BSC	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	Europa FC	H	3–1	W
19 Feb	Holstein Kiel	A	0–2	L
11 Feb	Roundglass Punjab FC	H	2–1	W
04 Feb	FC Ingolstadt 04	A	0–3	L
29 Jan	FC Prishtina	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hertha BSC and SC Freiburg is underway.
It finishes all square. Hertha BSC and SC Freiburg share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Hertha BSC Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Vincenzo Grifo	5
Nils Petersen	4
Krzysztof Piatek	3
Vedad Ibisevic	3
Dodi Lukebakio	3
Kevin Schade	2
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh	2
Nemanja Radonjic	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.43 Hertha BSC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 SC Freiburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hertha BSC53% Draw27% SC Freiburg20%

Actual: Hertha BSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw

80%

Draw or SC Freiburg

47%

Hertha BSC or SC Freiburg

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Hertha BSC34% Draw51% SC Freiburg15%

Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 0

12.9%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

8.5%

0 – 1

7.5%

3 – 0

4.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap	Hertha BSC covers	Push	SC Freiburg covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.