Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Grimsby Town FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Tue 7 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Blundell Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Grimsby Town FC vs Luton Town FC — FA Cup at Blundell Park.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Grimsby Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
28 Jan Luton Town FC A 2–2 D
07 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
05 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–1 W
06 Nov Kidderminster Harriers FC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Bromsgrove Sporting FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb Grimsby Town FC A 0–3 L
04 Feb Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
31 Jan Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
28 Jan Grimsby Town FC H 2–2 D
21 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–0 W
17 Jan Wigan Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Grimsby Town FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grimsby Town FC
Jaze Kabia 3 G
Kieran Green 2 G
Danny Rose 2 G
Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Luton Town FC gets underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 9' Brilliant from the ! Harry Clifton makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 9.
  • 14' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
  • 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grimsby Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' Against the run of play, Danilo Orsi-Dadomo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Bryn Morris.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luke Waterfall, as he is very good at scoring at Blundell Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Louie Watson.
  • 46' Pelly Ruddock gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Louie Watson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Daniel Amos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' Elliot Thorpe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grimsby Town FC so far.
  • 59' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Amari'i Bell has done his job and it is now time for Carlton Morris to step up.
  • 64' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 65' The whistle greets Kieran Green as he departs to be replaced by Alex Hunt.
  • 70' Grimsby Town FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 75' Jordan Clark has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Bryn Morris as he leaves the pitch. Anthony Driscoll-Glennon steps in for Grimsby Town FC.
  • 80' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Michee Efete on 80 minutes.
  • 85' Louie Watson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 393 appearances.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Grimsby Town FC! Edwin Essel comes on to replace Danilo Orsi-Dadomo.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Fred Onyedinma.
  • 3-0 the final result. Luton Town FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.89 Grimsby Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Grimsby Town FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grimsby Town FC58% Draw24% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Grimsby Town FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
42%
Grimsby Town FC or Luton Town FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grimsby Town FC41% Draw44% Luton Town FC15%
Actual: Grimsby Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Grimsby Town FC

Handicap Grimsby Town FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Grimsby Town FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.