Germany vs Hungary, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Germany vs Hungary — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
18 games this season
🟨 3.2/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Hungary this season
Hungary this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hungary
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Hungary
| Barnabas Varga | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Germany kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The travelling Hungary supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Germany side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' It looks surprising Hungary does not make any changes. Andras Schafer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Germany are in front.
- 22' Barnabas Varga was booked on 22.
- 27' That is a card for Germany. Antonio Rudiger will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' Kai Havertz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 117 goals in his last 552 appearances.
- 37' Hungary come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Florian Wirtz, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 52' Hungary have won 10 goals from 104 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' Manuel Neuer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' Another change for Germany made on 58 minute. Florian Wirtz leaves to be changed by Leroy Sane.
- 63' Germany looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ilkay Gundogan scoring 1 goals.
- 64' Hungary make a change. Adam Nagy trudges off to be replaced by Laszlo Kleinheisler on 64 minutes.
- 67' Ilkay Gundogan adds to his 3 season tally! Germany lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 72' Time for substitution for Germany. Robert Andrich is replaced by Emre Can.
- 75' Zsolt Nagy is replacing Milos Kerkez for the Hungary side.
- 80' Kevin Csoboth is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Germany tonight.
- 84' It is a substitution in Germany team. Ilkay Gundogan is replaced by Deniz Undav on 84 minute.
- 87' Daniel Gazdag has so much to prove this time. He replaces Barnabas Varga on 87 minute.
- 89' Maximilian Mittelstadt was booked on 89.
- 90' Dominik Szoboszlai has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Germany to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
-
21
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ Deniz Undav 84'
- 1
- 6
- 4
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Niclas Fullkrug 58'
- 18
-
23
Robert Andrich ↓ Emre Can 72'
- 8
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↓ Leroy Sane 58'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↓ Chris Fuhrich 72'
Bench
- 5
-
19
Leroy Sane ↑ 58'
- 20
- 13
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 58'
- 16
- 12
- 24
-
11
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 72'
- 3
- 22
-
25
Emre Can ↑ 72'
- 15
- 14
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 84'
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
Hungary Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 5
-
8
Adam Nagy ↓ Laszlo Kleinheisler 64'
-
19
Barnabas Varga ↓ Daniel Gazdag 87'
- 10
- 13
-
20
Roland Sallai ↓ Kevin Csoboth 87'
- 6
-
11
Milos Kerkez ↓ Zsolt Nagy 75'
- 24
Bench
- 12
- 22
- 21
- 2
-
18
Zsolt Nagy ↑ 75'
-
23
Kevin Csoboth ↑ 87'
-
16
Daniel Gazdag ↑ 87'
- 26
-
15
Laszlo Kleinheisler ↑ 64'
- 9
- 4
- 17
- 7
- 25
- 3
Coach
Marco Rossi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Adam Szalai | 1 |
| Andras Schafer | 1 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 |
Head to Head
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Hungary xG
I would bet for:
Germany to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
82%
Draw or Hungary
43%
Germany or Hungary
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Germany win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Hungary covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Hungary keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.