Germany vs Hungary, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Germany vs Hungary — European Championship at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
Match Details
- Referee Danny Makkelie
- Assistant 1 Hessel Steegstra
- Assistant 2 Jan de Vries
17 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Germany this season
Germany this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Hungary this season
Hungary this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Germany
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hungary
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Germany
| Jamal Musiala | 3 G | |
| Kai Havertz | 2 G | 1 A |
| Niclas Fullkrug | 2 G | |
| Florian Wirtz | 2 G | |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 G | 1 A |
Hungary
| Barnabas Varga | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Germany and Hungary get this one started.
- 5' The 31-year-old Joshua Kimmich has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 7 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Germany looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ilkay Gundogan scoring 1 goals.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marton Dardai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Germany.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rossi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 22' A stunning finish from Jamal Musiala — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Barnabas Varga on 22.
- 27' Antonio Rudiger picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 32' Germany currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Germany are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maximilian Mittelstadt suffering a number of foals already.
- 52' Daniel Gazdag is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hungary tonight.
- 57' Hungary started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
- 58' The crowd applauds Florian Wirtz as he leaves the pitch. Leroy Sane steps in for Germany.
- 63' It’s high time Marco Rossi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 64' Laszlo Kleinheisler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Nagy on 64 minute.
- 67' What a strike from Ilkay Gundogan! The score is 2-0.
- 72' A tactical swap from Germany — Emre Can on, Robert Andrich off on 72 minutes.
- 75' Zsolt Nagy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Milos Kerkez on 75 minute.
- 80' Hungary come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 84' The Germany manager makes a substitution. Ilkay Gundogan departs to be replaced by Deniz Undav.
- 87' Fresh legs for Hungary! Daniel Gazdag comes on to replace Barnabas Varga.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Maximilian Mittelstadt argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' That is a card for Hungary. Dominik Szoboszlai will be fuming at that decision.
- Hungary will have plenty to reflect on. Germany were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Germany Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
-
21
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ Deniz Undav 84'
- 1
- 6
- 4
-
7
Kai Havertz ↓ Niclas Fullkrug 58'
- 18
-
23
Robert Andrich ↓ Emre Can 72'
- 8
-
17
Florian Wirtz ↓ Leroy Sane 58'
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↓ Chris Fuhrich 72'
Bench
- 5
-
19
Leroy Sane ↑ 58'
- 20
- 13
-
9
Niclas Fullkrug ↑ 58'
- 16
- 12
- 24
-
11
Chris Fuhrich ↑ 72'
- 3
- 22
-
25
Emre Can ↑ 72'
- 15
- 14
-
26
Deniz Undav ↑ 84'
Coach
Julian Nagelsmann
Hungary Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 14
- 5
-
8
Adam Nagy ↓ Laszlo Kleinheisler 64'
-
19
Barnabas Varga ↓ Daniel Gazdag 87'
- 10
- 13
-
20
Roland Sallai ↓ Kevin Csoboth 87'
- 6
-
11
Milos Kerkez ↓ Zsolt Nagy 75'
- 24
Bench
- 12
- 22
- 21
- 2
-
18
Zsolt Nagy ↑ 75'
-
23
Kevin Csoboth ↑ 87'
-
16
Daniel Gazdag ↑ 87'
- 26
-
15
Laszlo Kleinheisler ↑ 64'
- 9
- 4
- 17
- 7
- 25
- 3
Coach
Marco Rossi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 1 |
| Adam Szalai | 1 |
| Andras Schafer | 1 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 1 |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 |
Head to Head
Germany Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7
Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Hungary xG
I would bet for:
Germany to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Germany win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Germany or Draw
82%
Draw or Hungary
43%
Germany or Hungary
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Germany win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Germany
| Handicap | Germany covers | Push | Hungary covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 24% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Germany keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Hungary keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.