FK Crvena Zvezda vs Crusaders FC, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

FK Crvena Zvezda

1 – 4

Full Time

Crusaders FC

Sat 20 Aug 2016 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Crusaders FC — Premier League .

FK Crvena Zvezda 0 games · 0 pts
Crusaders FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Crvena Zvezda 5.50

Draw 3.80

Crusaders FC 1.73

Head-to-Head

FK Crvena Zvezda 8 games · Avg 3.5 goals Crusaders FC

Last 5 meetings

2016-08-20 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–4 Crusaders FC 2016-04-24 Crusaders FC 4–0 FK Crvena Zvezda 2015-12-05 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Crusaders FC 2015-02-11 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–4 Crusaders FC 2014-08-30 Crusaders FC 0–1 FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

FK Crvena Zvezda

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Aug	Crusaders FC	H	1–4	L
13 Aug	PSV	A	1–1	D
15 May	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	2–1	W
07 May	Cork City FC	A	1–2	L
30 Apr	FC Midtjylland	H	1–1	D
24 Apr	Crusaders FC	A	0–4	L

Crusaders FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Aug	FK Crvena Zvezda	A	4–1	W
13 Aug	FC Midtjylland	H	2–1	W
15 May	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	A	1–1	D
08 May	Helsingin JK	H	2–2	D
01 May	FC Spartak Trnava	A	2–4	L
24 Apr	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FK Crvena Zvezda host Crusaders FC — let the battle begin!
Full Time. Crusaders FC beats FK Crvena Zvezda

Lineups

FK Crvena Zvezda Lineups

Crusaders FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FK Crvena Zvezda Form

2016-08-20 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–4 Crusaders FC L 2016-08-13 PSV 1–1 FK Crvena Zvezda D 2016-05-15 FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Qarabag Agdam FK W 2016-05-07 Cork City FC 2–1 FK Crvena Zvezda L 2016-04-30 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–1 FC Midtjylland D 2016-04-24 Crusaders FC 4–0 FK Crvena Zvezda L

Crusaders FC Form

2016-08-20 FK Crvena Zvezda 1–4 Crusaders FC W 2016-08-13 Crusaders FC 2–1 FC Midtjylland W 2016-05-15 HSK Zrinjski Mostar 1–1 Crusaders FC D 2016-05-08 Crusaders FC 2–2 Helsingin JK D 2016-05-01 FC Spartak Trnava 4–2 Crusaders FC L 2016-04-24 Crusaders FC 4–0 FK Crvena Zvezda W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.33 FK Crvena Zvezda xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 Crusaders FC xG

I would bet for: FK Crvena Zvezda or Crusaders FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Crvena Zvezda29% Draw26% Crusaders FC45%

Actual: Crusaders FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

FK Crvena Zvezda or Draw

55%

Draw or Crusaders FC

71%

FK Crvena Zvezda or Crusaders FC

74%

Half-Time Result

FK Crvena Zvezda22% Draw43% Crusaders FC35%

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted

1 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

1 – 2

0 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

2 – 1

6.8%

0 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

1 – 3

5.4%

1 – 0

5.1%

0 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Crvena Zvezda

Handicap	FK Crvena Zvezda covers	Push	Crusaders FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	15%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	21%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Crusaders FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.