FC Tōkyō vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

FC Tōkyō

1 – 0

Full Time

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Sat 14 Jan 2017 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius — Primeira Liga .

FC Tōkyō 0 games · 0 pts
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Tōkyō 2.20

Draw 3.10

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3.50

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Last 5 meetings

2017-01-14 FC Tōkyō 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2016-02-21 FC Tōkyō 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2015-09-27 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–1 FC Tōkyō 2015-02-28 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–0 FC Tōkyō 2014-09-27 FC Tōkyō 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	H	1–0	W
08 Jan	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–1	L
23 Dec	Gamba Osaka	H	3–0	W
18 Dec	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–3	L
09 Dec	Vegalta Sendai	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Jan	FC Tōkyō	A	0–1	L
08 Jan	Júbilo Iwata	H	0–0	D
22 Dec	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	H	0–2	L
18 Dec	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–2	L
11 Dec	Gamba Osaka	H	3–2	W
04 Dec	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–3	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FK Zalgiris Vilnius kicks off things out of here…
Full Time. FC Tokyo beats FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2017-01-14 FC Tōkyō 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius W 2017-01-08 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–0 FC Tōkyō L 2016-12-23 FC Tōkyō 3–0 Gamba Osaka W 2016-12-18 Kawasaki Frontale 3–1 FC Tōkyō L 2016-12-09 FC Tōkyō 2–0 Vegalta Sendai W 2016-12-03 Vissel Kobe 2–0 FC Tōkyō L

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form

2017-01-14 FC Tōkyō 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2017-01-08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–0 Júbilo Iwata D 2016-12-22 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo L 2016-12-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2016-12-11 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3–2 Gamba Osaka W 2016-12-04 Urawa Red Diamonds 3–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.43 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō52% Draw28% FK Zalgiris Vilnius20%

Actual: FC Tōkyō win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

80%

Draw or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

48%

FC Tōkyō or FK Zalgiris Vilnius

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō34% Draw51% FK Zalgiris Vilnius15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 0

12.8%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

8.6%

0 – 1

7.4%

3 – 0

4.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	FK Zalgiris Vilnius covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	25%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

FK Zalgiris Vilnius keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.