FC Südtirol vs Venezia FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2025-26

FC Südtirol

1 – 1

Full Time

Venezia FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Südtirol vs Venezia FC — Serie B .

FC Südtirol 38 games · 41 pts (2026/27)
Venezia FC 38 games · 82 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Federico La Penna

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Venezia FC	38	82
2	Frosinone Calcio	38	81
3	AC Monza	38	76
4	Palermo FC	38	72
5	US Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena FC 2018	38	55
7	SS Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Calcio Avellino SSD	38	49
9	Padova Calcio	38	46
10	AC Cesena	38	46
11	Mantova 1911 SSD	38	46
12	Carrarese Calcio	38	44
13	UC Sampdoria	38	44
14	ACD Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli FC	38	41
16	FC Südtirol	38	41
17	SSC Bari	38	40
18	AC Reggiana	38	37
19	Delfino Pescara 1936	38	35
20	Spezia Calcio	38	35

Head-to-Head

FC Südtirol 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Venezia FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 FC Südtirol 1–1 Venezia FC 2025-10-29 Venezia FC 3–0 FC Südtirol 2024-02-10 FC Südtirol 0–3 Venezia FC 2023-12-16 Venezia FC 2–3 FC Südtirol

Recent Form

FC Südtirol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Venezia FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Palermo FC	A	0–3	L
15 Feb	SSC Bari	A	2–1	W
11 Feb	AC Monza	H	0–0	D
07 Feb	Carrarese Calcio	A	0–0	D
31 Jan	US Catanzaro	H	2–1	W

Venezia FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FC Südtirol	A	1–1	D
21 Feb	Delfino Pescara 1936	H	3–2	W
14 Feb	AC Cesena	A	4–0	W
10 Feb	Modena FC 2018	H	0–2	L
07 Feb	Frosinone Calcio	A	2–1	W
31 Jan	Carrarese Calcio	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

FC Südtirol		Venezia FC
#16	Position	#1
41	Points	82
38	Played	38
8 / 17 / 13	W / D / L	24 / 10 / 4
38	Scored	77
48	Conceded	31
-10	GD	+46
1.08	PPG	2.16
21%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Südtirol are 16th (41 pts). Venezia FC are 1st (82 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Venezia FC kicks off things out of here…
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Südtirol Lineups

Venezia FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joel Pohjanpalo	2
Christian Gytkjaer	2
Nicola Rauti	1
Silvio Merkaj	1
Francesco Zampano	1
Daniele Casiraghi	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.82 FC Südtirol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.87 Venezia FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Südtirol22% Draw25% Venezia FC53%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

FC Südtirol or Draw

48%

Draw or Venezia FC

78%

FC Südtirol or Venezia FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Südtirol13% Draw44% Venezia FC43%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

11.9%

0 – 2

11.6%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 0

8.6%

0 – 3

7.1%

1 – 3

5.9%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.9%

0 – 4

3.3%

1 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Südtirol

Handicap	FC Südtirol covers	Push	Venezia FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	10%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	39%	—	61%
+1	39%	24%	37%
+1.5	63%	—	37%
+2	63%	19%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

FC Südtirol keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Venezia FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.