Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs Real Madrid CF, 2017

League One 2017/18 · 2017
Wed 21 Mar 2018 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Real Madrid CF — Premier League .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Porto 5.50
Draw 3.89
Real Madrid CF 1.70

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Real Madrid CF H 0–3 L
10 Mar Romania A 0–2 L
06 Mar Juventus FC H 0–3 L
03 Mar FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 3–0 W
27 Feb PFC CSKA Moskva A 1–2 L
24 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar FC Porto A 3–0 W
14 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–0 W
10 Mar France H 3–3 D
04 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–2 D
24 Feb Juventus FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb SSC Napoli H 0–2 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto20% Draw27% Real Madrid CF53%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
47%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
80%
FC Porto or Real Madrid CF
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Porto14% Draw48% Real Madrid CF38%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.1%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
11.3%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.7%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 25% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 17% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
20%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.