FC Midtjylland vs FC Spartak Trnava, 2016

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Premier League 2016/17 · 2016

FC Midtjylland

0 – 4

Full Time

FC Spartak Trnava

Sat 11 Feb 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Midtjylland vs FC Spartak Trnava — Premier League .

FC Midtjylland 0 games · 0 pts
FC Spartak Trnava 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Midtjylland 3.90

Draw 3.40

FC Spartak Trnava 2.10

Head-to-Head

FC Midtjylland 6 games · Avg 3.3 goals FC Spartak Trnava

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-11 FC Midtjylland 0–4 FC Spartak Trnava 2016-08-27 FC Spartak Trnava 1–1 FC Midtjylland 2016-03-05 FC Spartak Trnava 1–1 FC Midtjylland 2015-11-07 FC Midtjylland 0–1 FC Spartak Trnava 2015-05-02 FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Spartak Trnava

Recent Form

FC Midtjylland

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	FC Spartak Trnava	H	0–4	L
04 Feb	Cork City FC	A	4–0	W
31 Jan	Valletta FC	H	0–0	D
21 Jan	Astana FK	A	0–2	L
17 Jan	APOEL FC	A	0–2	L
14 Jan	FK Crvena Zvezda	H	1–3	L

FC Spartak Trnava

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	FC Midtjylland	A	4–0	W
04 Feb	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	1–3	L
31 Jan	HSK Zrinjski Mostar	A	1–2	L
28 Jan	Helsingin JK	H	0–5	L
22 Jan	KF Shkendija 79	H	3–0	W
18 Jan	AFC Ajax	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Midtjylland to score. At the same time, FC Spartak Trnava does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for FC Spartak Trnava.

Lineups

FC Midtjylland Lineups

FC Spartak Trnava Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Midtjylland Form

2017-02-11 FC Midtjylland 0–4 FC Spartak Trnava L 2017-02-04 Cork City FC 0–4 FC Midtjylland W 2017-01-31 FC Midtjylland 0–0 Valletta FC D 2017-01-21 Astana FK 2–0 FC Midtjylland L 2017-01-16 APOEL FC 2–0 FC Midtjylland L 2017-01-14 FC Midtjylland 1–3 FK Crvena Zvezda L

FC Spartak Trnava Form

2017-02-11 FC Midtjylland 0–4 FC Spartak Trnava W 2017-02-04 FC Spartak Trnava 1–3 Qarabag Agdam FK L 2017-01-31 HSK Zrinjski Mostar 2–1 FC Spartak Trnava L 2017-01-27 FC Spartak Trnava 0–5 Helsingin JK L 2017-01-22 FC Spartak Trnava 3–0 KF Shkendija 79 W 2017-01-17 FC Spartak Trnava 1–0 AFC Ajax W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.98 FC Midtjylland xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.68 FC Spartak Trnava xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Midtjylland25% Draw28% FC Spartak Trnava47%

Actual: FC Spartak Trnava win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

FC Midtjylland or Draw

53%

Draw or FC Spartak Trnava

75%

FC Midtjylland or FC Spartak Trnava

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Midtjylland17% Draw46% FC Spartak Trnava37%

Actual: FC Spartak Trnava win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted

0 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12.4%

0 – 1

10.9%

0 – 2

9.7%

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 0

1 – 0

5.9%

2 – 1

5.4%

0 – 3

5.3%

1 – 3

5.2%

2 – 2

4.6%

2 – 0

3.3%

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Midtjylland

Handicap	FC Midtjylland covers	Push	FC Spartak Trnava covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	23%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	16%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

FC Midtjylland keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

FC Spartak Trnava keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.