FC Lorient vs UE Sant Julia, 2016

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Ligue 2 2016/17 · 2016

FC Lorient

1 – 3

Full Time

UE Sant Julia

Fri 28 Oct 2016 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs UE Sant Julia — Ligue 2 .

FC Lorient 0 games · 0 pts
UE Sant Julia 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Lorient 2.10

Draw 3.00

UE Sant Julia 4.00

Head-to-Head

FC Lorient 6 games · Avg 1.0 goals UE Sant Julia

Last 5 meetings

2016-10-28 FC Lorient 1–3 UE Sant Julia 2016-02-05 UE Sant Julia 0–0 FC Lorient 2015-09-18 FC Lorient 0–0 UE Sant Julia 2015-02-06 FC Lorient 0–0 UE Sant Julia 2014-08-29 UE Sant Julia 0–0 FC Lorient

Recent Form

FC Lorient

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	UE Sant Julia	H	1–3	L
21 Oct	1. FC Magdeburg	A	0–2	L
14 Oct	SSV Ulm 1846	H	1–0	W
30 Sep	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
23 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	0–1	L
20 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	H	2–0	W

UE Sant Julia

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	FC Lorient	A	3–1	W
21 Oct	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	0–1	L
14 Oct	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–2	L
30 Sep	SG Dynamo Dresden	H	1–1	D
23 Sep	1. FC Schweinfurt 05	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. UE Sant Julia kicks off things out of here…
It finishes all square. FC Lorient and UE Sant Julia share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

UE Sant Julia Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FC Lorient Form

2016-10-28 FC Lorient 1–3 UE Sant Julia L 2016-10-21 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 FC Lorient L 2016-10-14 FC Lorient 1–0 SSV Ulm 1846 W 2016-09-30 FC Lorient 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2016-09-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–0 FC Lorient L 2016-09-20 FC Lorient 2–0 SV Werder Bremen W

UE Sant Julia Form

2016-10-28 FC Lorient 1–3 UE Sant Julia W 2016-10-21 UE Sant Julia 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt L 2016-10-14 SV Werder Bremen 2–0 UE Sant Julia L 2016-09-30 UE Sant Julia 1–1 SG Dynamo Dresden D 2016-09-23 1. FC Schweinfurt 05 0–0 UE Sant Julia D 2016-09-20 UE Sant Julia 1–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.08 FC Lorient xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 UE Sant Julia xG

I would bet for: FC Lorient or UE Sant Julia 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Lorient35% Draw32% UE Sant Julia33%

Actual: UE Sant Julia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	18%	82%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw

67%

Draw or UE Sant Julia

65%

FC Lorient or UE Sant Julia

68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Lorient24% Draw53% UE Sant Julia23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.4%

0 – 0

14.1%

1 – 0

11.4%

0 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 0

6.6%

0 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

Actual

3 – 0

2.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap	FC Lorient covers	Push	UE Sant Julia covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	20%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	20%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

UE Sant Julia keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.