Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2021 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 16 Oct 2021 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Ignacio 40' Y
Ignacio 41' Y
Jordan 60' Y
Jordan 61' Y
Geuvanio 76' Y
Y 90' Yago Pikachu

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
13 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–1 D
10 Oct SC Internacional A 2–5 L
06 Oct CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
03 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 1–1 D
25 Sep Ceará SC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Chapecoense AF A 2–1 W
13 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
09 Oct CR Flamengo H 0–3 L
07 Oct Fluminense FC A 2–0 W
02 Oct AC Goianiense H 0–3 L
26 Sep SC Recife A 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/5
16-30
4/9
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/6
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Fortaleza EC get us underway at .
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 6' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Bruno Melo makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Chapecoense AF and Fortaleza EC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Denner made 383 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Ignacio argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 41' Ignacio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 41.
  • 42' Rodriguinho does the damage! The net is bulging and Chapecoense AF surge ahead!
  • 46' Ronei is replacing Lima for the Chapecoense AF side.
  • 51' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Lucas Crispim has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Lucas Lima gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Matheus and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Jordan on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Chapecoense AF will be frustrated.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jordan.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 70' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 70 minute. Ronald leaves to be changed by Ederson.
  • 71' The Chapecoense AF manager makes a substitution. Mike departs to be replaced by Henrique Almeida.
  • 76' Chapecoense AF receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 76.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Bruno Melo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Crispim is hanging Bruno Melo on the field on 81 minute.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Denner as he leaves the pitch. Kaio Nunes steps in for Chapecoense AF.
  • 90' Yago Pikachu was booked on 90.
  • 90' The Chapecoense AF bench stirs into life. Ignacio is withdrawn and Pedro Perotti gets his opportunity.
  • Fortaleza EC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF26% Draw27% Fortaleza EC47%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
54%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
74%
Chapecoense AF or Fortaleza EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF20% Draw47% Fortaleza EC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.