Sunday , 16 August 2026

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
Fri 12 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field 43,002 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 21' Jovo Lukic
Cyle Larin 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Canada vs Bosnia-HerzegovinaWorldcup at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Facundo Tello
  • Assistant 1 Juan Pablo Belatti
  • Assistant 2 Gabriel Chade
16 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Canada 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bosnia-Herzegovina

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Bosnia-Herzegovina H 1–1 D
01 Dec Morocco H 1–2 L
27 Nov Croatia A 1–4 L
23 Nov Belgium A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Canada A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Canada Bosnia-Herzegovina
#6 Position #7
4 Points 4
3 Played 3
1 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
8 Scored 5
3 Conceded 6
+5 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Canada this season
0% Clean Sheets
Bosnia-Herzegovina this season

Canada are 6th (4 pts). Bosnia-Herzegovina are 7th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Canada
0-15
/
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/3
61-75
1/
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-15
/
16-30
2/
31-45
/2
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Canada
Jonathan David 3 G
Cyle Larin 2 G
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Ermin Mahmic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds BMO Field will turn into a battlefield for Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina.
  • 5' Bosnia-Herzegovina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Bosnia-Herzegovina looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jovo Lukic scoring 1 goals.
  • 11' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alistair Johnston.
  • 16' The 28-year-old Ermedin Demirovic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 21' Against the run of play, Jovo Lukic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Canada in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Bosnia-Herzegovina's compact 4-4-2.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bosnia-Herzegovina that had 4 games and scored 8 goals.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' That is a card for Bosnia-Herzegovina. Ermedin Demirovic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Canada are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luc De Fougerolles.
  • 58' Bosnia-Herzegovina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bosnia-Herzegovina needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' The travelling Bosnia-Herzegovina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 73' Bosnia-Herzegovina come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' Cyle Larin doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 83' Bosnia-Herzegovina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' The referee shows Bosnia-Herzegovina player a card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.58 Canada xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Bosnia-Herzegovina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Canada59% Draw21% Bosnia-Herzegovina20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Canada or Draw
81%
Draw or Bosnia-Herzegovina
41%
Canada or Bosnia-Herzegovina
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Canada50% Draw36% Bosnia-Herzegovina14%
Actual: Bosnia-Herzegovina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
4.9%
4 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Canada

Handicap Canada covers Push Bosnia-Herzegovina covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 19% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Canada keeps clean sheet
33%
Bosnia-Herzegovina keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.