Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
Fri 12 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC BMO Field 43,002 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 21' Jovo Lukic
Cyle Larin 78' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Canada vs Bosnia-Herzegovina — Worldcup at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Facundo Tello
  • Assistant 1 Juan Pablo Belatti
  • Assistant 2 Gabriel Chade
19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Canada 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bosnia-Herzegovina

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Bosnia-Herzegovina H 1–1 D
01 Dec Morocco H 1–2 L
27 Nov Croatia A 1–4 L
23 Nov Belgium A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Canada A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Canada Bosnia-Herzegovina
#6 Position #7
4 Points 4
3 Played 3
1 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
8 Scored 5
3 Conceded 6
+5 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.33
33% Win % 33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Canada this season
0% Clean Sheets
Bosnia-Herzegovina this season

Canada are 6th (4 pts). Bosnia-Herzegovina are 7th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Canada
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Canada
Jonathan David 3 G
Cyle Larin 2 G
Bosnia-Herzegovina
Ermin Mahmic 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at BMO Field!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Canada side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Canada is showing some good football. However, Canada are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 11' Alistair Johnston has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 11.
  • 16' Tajon Buchanan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 21' GOAL! Jovo Lukic fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ermedin Demirovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Bosnia-Herzegovina come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 41' Canada are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Bosnia-Herzegovina's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 45' Bosnia-Herzegovina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' Canada are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Luc De Fougerolles. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' The travelling Bosnia-Herzegovina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' Canada are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bosnia-Herzegovina backline.
  • 68' Canada is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 73' The home supporters are growing impatient. Canada must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 78' The Canada Cyle Larin breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-1!
  • 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
  • 88' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' Nikola Katic was booked on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.58 Canada xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Bosnia-Herzegovina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Canada59% Draw21% Bosnia-Herzegovina20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Canada or Draw
81%
Draw or Bosnia-Herzegovina
41%
Canada or Bosnia-Herzegovina
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Canada50% Draw36% Bosnia-Herzegovina14%
Actual: Bosnia-Herzegovina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.9%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
4.9%
4 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Canada

Handicap Canada covers Push Bosnia-Herzegovina covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 19% 54%
-1.5 46% — 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Canada keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Bosnia-Herzegovina keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.