Bolivia vs Peru, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Bolivia vs Peru — Copa Sudamericana .
Match Details
- Referee Roddy Zambrano
- Referee Esteban Ostojich
- Referee Christian Lescano
- Referee Byron Romero
- Referee Piero Maza
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Bolivia host Peru — let the battle begin!
- 5' Raul Castro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' Luis Abram has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Bolivia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Peru's shape.
- 20' The 36-year-old Pedro Gallese has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bolivia must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 27' It’s a booking for Peru player. Carlos Zambrano gets a Yellow card.
- 28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcelo Martins makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 30' Alejandro Chumacero picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 42' A moment of madness from Paolo Guerrero on 42 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Peru will be frustrated.
- 45' GOAL! Paolo Guerrero fires home to make it 1-1!
- 50' Peru seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Jefferson Farfan adds to his 0 season tally! Peru lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bolivia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fernando Saucedo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Peru.
- 71' Another substitution for Bolivia to replace Fernando Saucedo by Roberto Fernandez on 71 minute.
- 72' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roberto Fernandez on 72.
- 73' Bolivia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Leo Vaca is hanging Erwin Saavedra on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Peru that had 18 games and scored 20 goals.
- 79' It is a substitution in Peru team. Christian Cueva is replaced by Edison Flores on 79 minute.
- 80' Gilbert Alvarez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raul Castro at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Haquin is booked for Bolivia — Yellow card on 82.
- 85' The Peru bench stirs into life. Carlos Zambrano is withdrawn and Miguel Araujo gets his opportunity.
- 90' Christofer Gonzales gets the nod from Peru. He replaces Paolo Guerrero and will look to change the dynamic.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
Bolivia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 4
- 8
- 22
- 17
-
14
Raul Castro ↓ Gilbert Alvarez 80'
- 3
-
6
Erwin Saavedra ↓ Leo Vaca 73'
- 20
- 7
- 9
Bench
- 15
- 2
-
11
Leo Vaca ↑ 73'
- 5
- 13
-
21
Roberto Fernandez ↑ 71'
- 16
- 10
- 19
- 23
- 12
-
18
Gilbert Alvarez ↑ 80'
Coach
Eduardo Villegas
Peru Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 17
- 14
-
15
Carlos Zambrano ↓ Miguel Araujo 85'
-
8
Christian Cueva ↓ Edison Flores 79'
- 19
- 2
- 10
- 1
- 9
Bench
-
5
Miguel Araujo ↑ 85'
- 4
- 18
- 11
-
20
Edison Flores ↑ 79'
- 21
- 22
- 3
- 12
-
23
Christofer Gonzales ↑ 90'
- 16
- 7
Coach
Ricardo Gareca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Martins | 1 |
| Jefferson Farfan | 1 |
| Edison Flores | 1 |
| Paolo Guerrero | 1 |
Head to Head
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.09
Bolivia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Peru xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Peru win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Bolivia or Draw
52%
Draw or Peru
75%
Bolivia or Peru
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 3
3.2%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Bolivia
| Handicap | Bolivia covers | Push | Peru covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Bolivia keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Peru keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.