Saturday , 14 November 2026

Birmingham City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC St Andrew's Ground 26,459 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lee Buchanan 6' 1–0
Jay Stansfield pen 38' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at St Andrew's Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Sebastian Stockbridge (England)
  • Assistant 1 Tom Cooke (England)
  • Assistant 2 Marc Wilson

Head-to-Head

2
Birmingham City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
07 Dec Barnsley FC A 2–1 W
04 Dec Stockport County FC H 2–0 W
01 Dec Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov Exeter City FC A 2–0 W
23 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Birmingham City FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov Barnsley FC A 4–3 W
26 Nov Blackpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Nov Mansfield Town FC A 1–0 W
16 Nov Crawley Town FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Birmingham City FC is hosting Bristol Rovers FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Lee Buchanan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 16' Bristol Rovers FC have won 317 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 21' Bristol Rovers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 26' Birmingham City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' Kamil Conteh has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 13 appearances.
  • 36' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' Goal! Jay Stansfield scores his 43 goal in 349 matches.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 67' Ethan Laird has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lee Buchanan on 67 minute.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 77' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' A quiet spell here at St Andrew's Ground. Birmingham City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ethan Laird suffering a number of foals already.
  • The points are shared — Birmingham City FC 2-0 Bristol Rovers FC. Honours even.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Birmingham City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Birmingham City FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Birmingham City FC60% Draw24% Bristol Rovers FC16%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
40%
Birmingham City FC or Bristol Rovers FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Birmingham City FC41% Draw47% Bristol Rovers FC12%
Actual: Birmingham City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap Birmingham City FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 19% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 26% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.