Argentina vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Argentina vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Argentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' The deadlock is broken! Alejandro Gomez gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
- 15' Argentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paraguay backline.
- 16' Gustavo Gomez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 16.
- 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Carlos Gonzalez made 14 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 26' The 30-year-old Richard Sanchez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Argentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 34' Leandro Paredes was booked on 34.
- 39' Oscar Romero is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Argentina so far.
- 44' Argentina currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 49' Argentina are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Paraguay's shape.
- 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 59' Argentina ring the changes. Sergio Aguero has done his job and it is now time for Joaquin Correa to step up.
- 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' The crowd applauds Alejandro Romero Gamarra as he leaves the pitch. Oscar Romero steps in for Paraguay.
- 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Argentina that had 33 games and scored 63 goals.
- 72' A tactical swap from Argentina — Rodrigo de Paul on, Alejandro Gomez off on 72 minutes.
- 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 81' A tactical swap from Argentina — Angel Correa on, Angel di Maria off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Robert Ayrton Piris Da Motta makes way for Richard Sanchez at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Paraguay.
- 87' Carlos Gonzalez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Angel Romero at the 87 minute mark.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Argentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
9
Sergio Aguero ↓ Joaquin Correa 59'
- 3
-
11
Angel di Maria ↓ Angel Correa 81'
- 10
- 24
- 6
- 5
- 13
- 26
- 18
Bench
-
21
Angel Correa ↑ 81'
- 22
-
16
Joaquin Correa ↑ 59'
-
7
Rodrigo de Paul ↑ 72'
- 8
- 1
- 4
- 2
- 25
- 12
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Angel Romero ↓ Carlos Gonzalez 87'
- 15
- 6
- 14
- 10
-
9
Gabriel Avalos ↓ Braian Samudio 87'
- 1
- 19
- 17
- 13
- 26
Bench
- 4
- 3
- 2
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 66'
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↑ 87'
-
18
Braian Samudio ↑ 87'
-
8
Richard Sanchez ↑ 82'
- 22
- 24
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 1 |
| Richard Sanchez | 1 |
| Alejandro Gomez | 1 |
Argentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16
Argentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Argentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Argentina or Draw
79%
Draw or Paraguay
52%
Argentina or Paraguay
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Argentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.6%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.7%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Argentina
| Handicap | Argentina covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 25% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Argentina keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
