Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Monaco FC vs FC Metz, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
5 – 2
Full Time
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs FC Metz — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep FC Metz H 5–2 W
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 1–4 L
13 Sep AJ Auxerre A 2–1 W
31 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–2 W
24 Aug Lille OSC A 0–1 L
16 Aug Le Havre AC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AS Monaco FC A 2–5 L
14 Sep Angers SCO H 1–1 D
31 Aug Paris FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Olympique Lyonnais A 0–3 L
17 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
10 May Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
89% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Monaco FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Monaco FC
Paris Brunner 4 G
Eric Dier 1 G 1 A
Flavio Nazinho 1 G 1 A
Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . AS Monaco FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Metz.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Metz.

Lineups

AS Monaco FC Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.57 AS Monaco FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 FC Metz xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Monaco FC64% Draw19% FC Metz17%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Metz
36%
AS Monaco FC or FC Metz
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Monaco FC47% Draw36% FC Metz17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap AS Monaco FC covers Push FC Metz covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 20% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
FC Metz keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.