AFC Ajax vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, 2016

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Championship 2016/17 · 2016

AFC Ajax

2 – 2

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sat 11 Mar 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Championship .

AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AFC Ajax 1.75

Draw 3.75

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 5.25

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2017-03-11 AFC Ajax 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2016-08-06 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–2	D
07 Mar	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	1–1	D
04 Mar	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	1–5	L
26 Feb	SK Sturm Graz	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	FC Basel 1893	A	1–2	L
14 Feb	FK Kukesi	H	2–2	D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	AFC Ajax	A	2–2	D
07 Mar	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	H	1–1	D
04 Mar	Real Madrid CF	H	1–0	W
28 Feb	FC CFR 1907 Cluj	H	1–0	W
24 Feb	FC Basel 1893	A	1–1	D
19 Feb	NK Olimpija Ljubljana	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Ajax and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is underway.
The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.78 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Ajax46% Draw26% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

71%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

54%

AFC Ajax or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

74%

Half-Time Result

AFC Ajax34% Draw43% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

1 – 0

6.9%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 0

6.8%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

5.3%

0 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

3 – 0

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.