Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Monza vs Spezia Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Spezia Calcio H 1–0 W
28 Oct Palermo FC A 3–0 W
25 Oct AC Reggiana H 3–1 W
18 Oct Frosinone Calcio A 1–0 W
04 Oct US Catanzaro H 2–1 W
01 Oct Empoli FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov AC Monza A 0–1 L
29 Oct Padova Calcio H 1–1 D
25 Oct Calcio Avellino SSD A 4–0 W
18 Oct AC Cesena H 1–2 L
04 Oct Palermo FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep AC Reggiana A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Monza Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Monza53% Draw27% Spezia Calcio20%
Actual: AC Monza win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AC Monza or Draw
80%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
47%
AC Monza or Spezia Calcio
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Monza33% Draw51% Spezia Calcio16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Monza

Handicap AC Monza covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Monza keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.