Tuesday , 21 July 2026

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 28 Dec 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FCSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Fabbri
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–0 W
14 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–2 D
08 Dec Torino FC A 3–2 W
29 Nov SS Lazio H 1–0 W
23 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 1–0 W
08 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Dec AC Milan A 0–3 L
14 Dec ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC H 3–1 W
29 Nov Genoa CFC A 1–2 L
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–2 L
08 Nov US Lecce A 0–0 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Hellas Verona FC
#5 Position #19
70 Points 21
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 12 / 23
53 Scored 25
35 Conceded 61
+18 GD -36
1.84 PPG 0.55
53% Win % 8%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Hellas Verona FC are 19th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Hellas Verona FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.52 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan71% Draw20% Hellas Verona FC9%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
91%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
29%
AC Milan or Hellas Verona FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan50% Draw43% Hellas Verona FC7%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
15.8%
1 – 0
15.4%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
3.3%
4 – 1
3%
5 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 22% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 25% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
60%
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.