Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Sao Paulo FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Grêmio FBPA

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Grêmio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA 2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Grêmio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L

Grêmio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC		Grêmio FBPA
#8	Position	#16
25	Points	21
18	Played	18
7 / 4 / 7	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 7
23	Scored	20
20	Conceded	23
+3	GD	-3
1.39	PPG	1.17
39%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Grêmio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC

Luciano	6 G	1 A
Jonathan Calleri	6 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Grêmio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Grêmio FBPA kicks off things out of here…
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sao Paulo FC players.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Luciano	2
Everton	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Reinaldo	1
Vitor	1

Head to Head

Sao Paulo FC Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 Sao Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Grêmio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.54 Sao Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Grêmio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Sao Paulo FC52% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA21%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Grêmio FBPA

48%

Sao Paulo FC or Grêmio FBPA

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sao Paulo FC35% Draw48% Grêmio FBPA17%

Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

12.2%

0 – 0

10.6%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

0 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

5.3%

3 – 0

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.5%

3 – 2

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap	Sao Paulo FC covers	Push	Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	24%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.