Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Nov | EC Juventude | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Nov | Fluminense FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Oct | AC Goianiense | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | Criciúma EC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 21 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 20 | Scored | 23 |
| 23 | Conceded | 20 |
| -3 | GD | +3 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 28% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Grêmio FBPA to score. At the same time, Sao Paulo FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Grêmio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 36' Franco Cristaldo makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Goal! Ruan scores his 2 goal in 326 matches.
- 51' Patryck has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ferreira made 326 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Grêmio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 62' Patryck gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Rafinha and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' The crowd applauds Ferreira as he leaves the pitch. Wellington Rato steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 64' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luiz Gustavo makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 65' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Franco Cristaldo is replaced by Miguel Monsalve.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 72' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 72.
- 75' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 75 minute. Alisson leaves to be changed by Damian Bobadilla.
- 76' William da Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Silva at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' The 23-year-old Alexander Aravena has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 86' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Igor is hanging Joao Pedro on the field on 88 minute.
- 89' Cristian Pavon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yeferson Soteldo on 89 minute.
- 90' Cristian Pavon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Grêmio FBPA players.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
- 6
- 22
- 28
- 18
- 10
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 16
Bench
- 30
- 2
- 19
- 21
- 15
- 23
- 9
- 53
- 33
- 35
- 11
- 34
Coach
Renato Gaucho
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Damian Bobadilla 75'
- 10
- 2
- 7
- 16
- 13
- 28
-
17
Andre Silva ↓ William da Silva 76'
-
47
Ferreira ↓ Wellington Rato 63'
- 22
- 23
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 5
- 20
- 35
- 11
- 4
-
36
Patryck ↑ 62'
-
27
Wellington Rato ↑ 63'
-
39
William da Silva ↑ 76'
- 30
-
21
Damian Bobadilla ↑ 75'
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
58%
Grêmio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

