Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Fluminense FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Grêmio FBPA

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)

12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

Fluminense FC 17 games · Avg 2.9 goals Grêmio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA 2024-08-20 Fluminense FC 6–3 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Grêmio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Grêmio FBPA	A	2–1	W
27 Nov	Sao Paulo FC	H	6–0	W
23 Nov	SE Palmeiras	A	0–0	D
20 Nov	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W

Grêmio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W
22 Nov	Botafogo FR	A	2–3	L
20 Nov	CR Vasco da Gama	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC		Grêmio FBPA
#3	Position	#16
31	Points	21
18	Played	18
9 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 7
28	Scored	20
23	Conceded	23
+5	GD	-3
1.72	PPG	1.17
50%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Grêmio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Agustin Canobbio	4 G	1 A
Luciano Acosta	3 G	4 A
Jefferson Savarino	3 G	2 A
Rodrigo Castillo	3 G	1 A

Grêmio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fluminense FC is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yeferson Soteldo	2
Luis Suarez	2
Yony Gonzalez	2
Jhon Arias	2
Everton	2
Diego Souza	2
Cesar Pinares	2
Matheus Ferraz	1

Head to Head

Fluminense FC Form

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-20 Fluminense FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-11-20 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 CR Vasco da Gama W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.08 Fluminense FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Grêmio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Fluminense FC59% Draw22% Grêmio FBPA19%

Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Grêmio FBPA

41%

Fluminense FC or Grêmio FBPA

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Fluminense FC41% Draw41% Grêmio FBPA18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.2%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.8%

1 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

0 – 1

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap	Fluminense FC covers	Push	Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.