Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Dodi 58' Y
Arthur 61' Y
Y 86' Lima

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Grêmio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA Fluminense FC
#16 Position #3
21 Points 31
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
20 Scored 28
23 Conceded 23
-3 GD +5
1.17 PPG 1.72
28% Win % 50%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Arena do Gremio. Grêmio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against Fluminense FC.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 19' GOAL! Yeferson Soteldo fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 24' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 29' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Andre has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' Wagner Leonardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yeferson Soteldo makes it 0-2.
  • 54' What composure from Andre! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 56' Gremio FBPA make a change. Alysson trudges off to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 56 minutes.
  • 58' Dodi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur.
  • 66' Cristian Pavon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 175 appearances.
  • 68' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Willian exits the field as Gustavo Cuellar enters on 68.
  • 69' Keno is replacing Yeferson Soteldo for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 70' Ganso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Acosta at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Cristian Pavon has done his job and it is now time for Edenilson to step up.
  • 76' The whistle greets Nonato as he departs to be replaced by Hercules.
  • 78' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 86' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Samuel Xavier has done his job and it is now time for Thiago Santos to step up.
  • Grêmio FBPA will have plenty to reflect on. Fluminense FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA30% Draw27% Fluminense FC43%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or Fluminense FC
70%
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA23% Draw46% Fluminense FC31%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.