Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #3 |
| 21 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 4 / 5 |
| 20 | Scored | 28 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -3 | GD | +5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 28% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena do Gremio. Grêmio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against Fluminense FC.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 19' GOAL! Yeferson Soteldo fires home to make it 0-1!
- 24' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 29' It looks surprising Grêmio FBPA does not make any changes. Andre has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 34' Wagner Leonardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 49' Fluminense FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yeferson Soteldo makes it 0-2.
- 54' What composure from Andre! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-3.
- 56' Gremio FBPA make a change. Alysson trudges off to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 56 minutes.
- 58' Dodi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur.
- 66' Cristian Pavon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 27 goals in his last 175 appearances.
- 68' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Willian exits the field as Gustavo Cuellar enters on 68.
- 69' Keno is replacing Yeferson Soteldo for the Fluminense FC side.
- 70' Ganso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luciano Acosta at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Cristian Pavon has done his job and it is now time for Edenilson to step up.
- 76' The whistle greets Nonato as he departs to be replaced by Hercules.
- 78' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
- 86' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Samuel Xavier has done his job and it is now time for Thiago Santos to step up.
- Grêmio FBPA will have plenty to reflect on. Fluminense FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 14
- 88
- 29
- 7
- 1
- 3
- 53
- 77
- 47
Bench
- 4
- 6
- 21
- 8
- 10
- 25
- 2
- 15
- 12
- 44
- 16
- 40
Coach
Mano Menezes
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
2
Samuel Xavier ↓ Thiago Santos 90'
- 16
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 70'
- 4
- 22
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↓ Keno 69'
- 9
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Lima 76'
Bench
- 21
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 90'
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 70'
-
11
Keno ↑ 69'
- 27
- 99
-
45
Lima ↑ 76'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 76'
- 5
- 28
- 19
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or Fluminense FC
70%
Grêmio FBPA or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

