Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Grêmio FBPA
2 – 0
Full Time
Sao Paulo FC
Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Gonzalo Tapia
Y 64' Mailton dos Santos
Y 75' Luciano
Dodi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

7
4
6
Grêmio FBPA 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sao Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Grêmio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA Sao Paulo FC
#16 Position #8
21 Points 25
18 Played 18
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 7
20 Scored 23
23 Conceded 20
-3 GD +3
1.17 PPG 1.39
28% Win % 39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena do Gremio as Grêmio FBPA face off against Sao Paulo FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Ferreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 13' Wendell makes way for Patryck at the 13 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' The referee has no hesitation. Gonzalo Tapia is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 21.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Alysson is replaced by Cristian Pavon.
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rafael Monteiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 44' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Alan Franco has done his job and it is now time for Lucas Moura to step up.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Carlos Vinicius makes it 0-2.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Mailton dos Santos.
  • 66' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 66 minute. Rodrigo Huendra leaves to be changed by Ferreira.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Carlos Vinicius is replaced by Cristian Olivera.
  • 72' Luciano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 63 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Luciano. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Luciano is withdrawn and Emiliano Rigoni gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 84 minute. Arthur leaves to be changed by Gustavo Martins.
  • 89' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Grêmio FBPA 2-0 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Diego Souza 1
Jonathan Calleri 1

Head to Head

2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-12-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-10-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-10-02 Santos FC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-09-28 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Grêmio FBPA W

Sao Paulo FC Form

2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-10-05 Sao Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 Sao Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Grêmio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA44% Draw29% Sao Paulo FC27%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
56%
Grêmio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA27% Draw51% Sao Paulo FC22%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Sao Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.