Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Recife vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 4
Full Time
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Alysson
Y 80' Camilo

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Match Details

  • Referee Edina Alves Batista
8 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Grêmio FBPA H 0–4 L
03 Dec EC Bahia A 0–2 L
29 Nov Santos FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–3 L
18 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
15 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ilha do Retiro will turn into a battlefield for SC Recife and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' SC Recife started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • 21' That looks like a foul for a card for Alysson.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Recife needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' The whistle greets Igor Carius as he departs to be replaced by Joao Silva.
  • 29' Goal! Carlos Vinicius scores his 77 goal in 324 matches.
  • 31' Goal! Carlos Vinicius scores his 77 goal in 324 matches.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
  • 40' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Alysson is replaced by Cristian Pavon on 40 minute.
  • 42' Goal! Gustavo Martins scores his 6 goal in 326 matches.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Francis Amuzu on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Leo Augusto. He replaces Matheusinho on 46 minute.
  • 48' Goal! Franco Cristaldo scores his 34 goal in 25 matches.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' Cristian Pavon needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Oliveira. He replaces Goncalo Paciencia on 60 minute.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 66' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 66 minute. Marlon leaves to be changed by Lucas Esteves.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andre, as he is very good at scoring at Ilha do Retiro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 76' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Gustavo Cuellar gets a card.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Carlos Vinicius is replaced by Andre on 77 minute.
  • 80' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Camilo gets a card.
  • 85' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • Another three points for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife26% Draw26% Grêmio FBPA48%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
52%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
74%
SC Recife or Grêmio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife19% Draw43% Grêmio FBPA38%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
16%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.