Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Sao Paulo FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Wed 17 Jul 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 53,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Moura 10' 1–0
Y 23' Joao Pedro Pepe
Y 31' Mathias Villasanti
Igor Vinicius 38' Y
Lucas Moura 41' Y
Rafael Monteiro 78' Y
Y 80' Nathan
Welington 90' Y
Igor Vinicius 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
4
7
Sao Paulo FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-06-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 0–1 L
10 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
07 Jul EC Juventude A 0–3 L
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Grêmio FBPA
#8 Position #16
25 Points 21
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
23 Scored 20
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD -3
1.39 PPG 1.17
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sao Paulo FC launch into their encounter with Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' What composure from Lucas Moura! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 15' Dodi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 23' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Joao Pedro Pepe will be fuming at that decision.
  • 28' Sao Paulo FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 31' Mathias Villasanti has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
  • 38' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 38.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Lucas Moura on 41 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 46' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Joao Pedro Pepe departs to be replaced by Felipe Carballo.
  • 47' The supporters are chanting for Nathan. He replaces Everton on 47 minute.
  • 52' Felipe Carballo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
  • 55' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Alisson by Wellington Rato on 55 minute.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Igor Vinicius, as he is very good at scoring at Morumbi with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Lucas Moura is replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
  • 69' The whistle greets Jonathan Calleri as he departs to be replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 74' Cristian Pavon makes way for Nathan Ribeiro at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Gomes. He replaces Dodi on 75 minute.
  • 78' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Nathan on 80 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 89' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Nata departs to be replaced by Ronald.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Welington is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Sao Paulo FC and Grêmio FBPA share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Luciano 2
Vanderson 1
Lucas Moura 1

Head to Head

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-06-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA

Sao Paulo FC Form

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 Sao Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 Sao Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 Sao Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2024-07-17 Sao Paulo FC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2024-07-10 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2024-07-07 EC Juventude 3–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2024-07-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2024-06-30 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-06-26 AC Goianiense 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC56% Draw26% Grêmio FBPA18%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
44%
Sao Paulo FC or Grêmio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw49% Grêmio FBPA14%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
11.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.