Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023
Sao Paulo FC
3 – 0
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Walter Kannemann
Y 24' Walter Kannemann
Pablo Maia 43' Y
Y 70' Josue Souza
Y 89' Luis Suarez

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
4
7
Sao Paulo FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-06-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2021-02-14 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

Recent Form

Sao Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Grêmio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC Grêmio FBPA
#8 Position #16
25 Points 21
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
23 Scored 20
20 Conceded 23
+3 GD -3
1.39 PPG 1.17
39% Win % 28%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sao Paulo FC host Grêmio FBPA — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Nathan Ribeiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 20' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
  • 21' Michel Araujo doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 21' Poor challenge from Walter Kannemann. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Walter Kannemann on 24 minutes.
  • 28' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 28 minute. Franco Cristaldo leaves to be changed by Nathan Ribeiro.
  • 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Pablo Maia gets a Yellow card.
  • 48' Joao Pedro Pepe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 330 appearances.
  • 53' Bruno Alves needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' Sao Paulo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Everton suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' The whistle greets Walter Kannemann as he departs to be replaced by Everton.
  • 68' The Brazil Pablo Maia breaks the deadlock on 68 minutes. 2-0!
  • 70' Josue Souza picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. David is replaced by Luciano on 71 minute.
  • 72' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. James Rodriguez is withdrawn and Rodrigo Nestor gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Walter Kannemann is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 80' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Alisson is withdrawn and Wellington Rato gets his opportunity.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Nathan Ribeiro as he leaves the pitch. Lucas Besozzi steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 87' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Moura departs to be replaced by Nathan.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Suarez is booked for Gremio FBPA — Yellow card on 89.
  • Another three points for Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Dorival Júnior

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Reinaldo 1
Vitor 1

Head to Head

2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-06-04 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Sao Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Sao Paulo FC 2021-08-15 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2021-02-14 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Sao Paulo FC

Sao Paulo FC Form

2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2023-10-19 Goiás EC 2–0 Sao Paulo FC L 2023-10-07 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 Sao Paulo FC D 2023-09-30 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 SC Corinthians Paulista W 2023-09-27 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Coritiba FBC W 2023-09-21 Sao Paulo FC 1–2 Fortaleza EC L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2023-10-18 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 CA Paranaense L 2023-10-08 SC Internacional 3–2 Grêmio FBPA L 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2023-09-22 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 SE Palmeiras W 2023-09-19 SC Corinthians Paulista 4–4 Grêmio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC54% Draw24% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
46%
Sao Paulo FC or Grêmio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC38% Draw44% Grêmio FBPA18%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.