Grêmio FBPA vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Grêmio FBPA

2 – 1

Full Time

CA Mineiro

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs CA Mineiro — Serie A .

Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Raphael Claus

12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

Grêmio FBPA 17 games · Avg 3.3 goals CA Mineiro

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2025-08-17 CA Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio FBPA 2025-03-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-09-01 Grêmio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	CA Mineiro	H	2–1	W
12 Feb	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Grêmio FBPA	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	Clube do Remo	H	3–3	D
04 Feb	RB Bragantino	A	0–1	L
28 Jan	SE Palmeiras	H	2–2	D
07 Dec	CR Vasco da Gama	H	5–0	W
04 Dec	SE Palmeiras	H	0–3	L

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA		CA Mineiro
#16	Position	#9
21	Points	24
18	Played	18
5 / 6 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 8
20	Scored	22
23	Conceded	23
-3	GD	-1
1.17	PPG	1.33
28%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CA Mineiro

0-15

2/2

16-30

4/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

CA Mineiro

Victor Hugo Gomes

3 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. CA Mineiro kicks off things out of here…
Full Time. Grêmio FBPA beats CA Mineiro

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

CA Mineiro Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eduardo Vargas	4
Keno	3
Hyoran	2
Hulk	2
Jaminton Campaz	2
Alexander Aravena	2
Diego Souza	2
Gustavo Scarpa	2

Head to Head

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-02-26 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro W 2026-02-12 Sao Paulo FC 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Grêmio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L

CA Mineiro Form

2026-02-26 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2026-02-11 CA Mineiro 3–3 Clube do Remo D 2026-02-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 CA Mineiro 5–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.71 Grêmio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.28 CA Mineiro xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Grêmio FBPA50% Draw25% CA Mineiro25%

Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw

75%

Draw or CA Mineiro

50%

Grêmio FBPA or CA Mineiro

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Grêmio FBPA34% Draw44% CA Mineiro22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 0

7.3%

0 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

6.8%

2 – 2

5.8%

0 – 1

5.6%

3 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap	Grêmio FBPA covers	Push	CA Mineiro covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	21%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.