Tuesday , 7 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Jordy Croux

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Jubilo IwataJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
12 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 4.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Jubilo Iwata H 3–0 W
30 Nov Nagoya Grampus A 3–0 W
09 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–2 L
03 Nov FC Machida Zelvia H 2–1 W
19 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec Sagan Tosu FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
16 Nov Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–4 L
09 Nov Gamba Osaka H 3–4 L
01 Nov Vissel Kobe A 0–2 L
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Vykintas Slivka, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' Goal! Cayman Togashi scores his 12 goal in 437 matches.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a card for Jordy Croux.
  • 26' Keita Takahata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 30' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 28 goal in 325 matches.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Peixoto. He replaces Keita Takahata on 46 minute.
  • 51' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 56 minute. Shun Nakamura leaves to be changed by Kotaro Fujikawa.
  • 59' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan scores on 59. Assisted by Vykintas Slivka
  • 62' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 62 minute. Yusuke Maruhashi leaves to be changed by Katsunori Ueebisu.
  • 64' The Jubilo Iwata manager makes a substitution. Hiroto Uemura departs to be replaced by Shunsuke Nishikubo.
  • 66' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Il-kyu Park by Masahiro Okamoto on 66 minute.
  • 67' Naoyuki Fujita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wataru Harada on 67 minute.
  • 71' The whistle greets Rikiya Uehara as he departs to be replaced by Rei Hirakawa.
  • 76' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 83' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Hikaru Nakahara departs to be replaced by Keisuke Sakaiya.
  • 88' It’s high time Naoyuki Iwata made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC57% Draw24% Jubilo Iwata19%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
43%
Sagan Tosu FC or Jubilo Iwata
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC39% Draw45% Jubilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 24% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.