Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Tue 12 Aug 2025 · 16:00 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs KF Shkendija 79Champions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
17 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug KF Shkendija 79 H 5–1 W
05 Aug KF Shkendija 79 A 1–0 W
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L
23 Jan FCSB Bukarest H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Aug Qarabağ Ağdam FK H 0–1 L
30 Jul FCSB Bukarest A 2–1 W
22 Jul FCSB Bukarest H 1–0 W
15 Jul The New Saints FC H 2–1 W
08 Jul The New Saints FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Qarabag Agdam FK to score. At the same time, KF Shkendija 79 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' GOAL! Fabrice Tamba scores on 10. Assisted by Besart Ibraimi
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 16' GOAL! Klisman Cake scores on 16.
  • 18' Goal! Kady Borges scores his 2 goal in 266 matches.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Abdellah Zoubir made 252 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Qarabag Agdam FK needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' GOAL! Nəriman Axundzadə scores on 33. Assisted by Abdellah Zoubir
  • 35' Sensational shot from Marko Jankovic. Qarabag Agdam FK is back in the lead.
  • 35' KF Shkendija 79 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Liridon Latifi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Qarabag Agdam FK is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' Adamu Alhassan is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering KF Shkendija 79 that had 191 games and scored 35 goals.
  • 59' What a strike from Leandro Andrade! The score is 4-2.
  • 62' Another change for KF Shkendija 79 made on 62 minute. Besart Ibraimi leaves to be changed by Fiton Ademi.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Qarabag Agdam FK. Matheus Silva is replaced by Samy Mmaee.
  • 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Florent Ramadani, as he is very good at scoring at Tofig Bakhramov with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' Musa Qurbanli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nəriman Axundzadə on 70 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Fabrice Tamba as he departs to be replaced by Florent Ramadani.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Qarabag Agdam FK team. Leandro Andrade is replaced by Hikmət Cəbrayilzadə on 77 minute.
  • 82' It looks surprising Qarabag Agdam FK does not make any changes. Elvin Cəfərquliyev has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 83' The KF Shkendija 79 manager makes a substitution. Arbin Zejnulai departs to be replaced by Lorik Jakupi.
  • 88' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Qarabag Agdam FK winning 100% of all matches.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 KF Shkendija 79 xG
I would bet for: Qarabağ Ağdam FK to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabağ Ağdam FK59% Draw23% KF Shkendija 7918%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Draw
81%
Draw or KF Shkendija 79
41%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK or KF Shkendija 79
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabağ Ağdam FK41% Draw42% KF Shkendija 7917%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Handicap Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers Push KF Shkendija 79 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
35%
KF Shkendija 79 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.