Wednesday , 22 July 2026

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 3

Tue 13 Aug 2024 · 18:00 UTC Huvepharma Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs Qarabağ Ağdam FKChampions League Q at Huvepharma Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
9 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.8 goals/game

Recent Form

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad and Qarabag Agdam FK is underway.
  • 5' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Qarabag Agdam FK's shape.
  • 7' Juninho adds to his 0 season tally! Qarabag Agdam FK lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 12' Supporters expect more eagerness from Elvin Cəfərquliyev, as he is very good at scoring at Huvepharma Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 13' A goal from the Switzerland international Kwadwo Duah! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-1!
  • 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabijan Buntic made 169 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' What a strike from Kwadwo Duah! The score is 2-1.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Bahlul Mustafazada is booked for Qarabag Agdam FK — card on 28.
  • 30' The crowd applauds Marko Vesovic as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Silva steps in for Qarabag Agdam FK.
  • 35' Qarabag Agdam FK have won 141 goals from 252 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 39' The whistle greets Marko Jankovic as he departs to be replaced by Patrick Andrade.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Brilliant from the ! Yassine Benzia makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 46' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad ring the changes. Jakub Piotrowski has done his job and it is now time for Ivaylo Chochev to step up.
  • 50' Brilliant from the ! Patrick Andrade makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 54' Matheus Silva picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ivaylo Chochev.
  • 63' Julio Romao has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 73' PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Qarabag Agdam FK backline.
  • 74' Spas Delev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rwan Seco on 74 minute.
  • 79' Edvin Kurtulus has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' Qarabag Agdam FK ring the changes. Elvin Cəfərquliyev has done his job and it is now time for Toral Bayramov to step up.
  • 85' Qarabag Agdam FK receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Abdellah Zoubir on 87 minutes earns him a card. Qarabag Agdam FK will be frustrated.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deroy Duarte on 89.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Rick.
  • Another three points for Qarabag Agdam FK.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
I would bet for: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Qarabağ Ağdam FK 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad36% Draw23% Qarabağ Ağdam FK41%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Draw
58%
Draw or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
64%
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad or Qarabağ Ağdam FK
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad26% Draw38% Qarabağ Ağdam FK36%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–7 not predicted
2 – 7
Actual
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad

Handicap PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad covers Push Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 15% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad keeps clean sheet
12%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.