Astana FK vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK, 2015

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Premier League 2015/16 · 2015

Astana FK

0 – 3

Full Time

Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Sat 30 Apr 2016 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Astana FK vs Qarabağ Ağdam FK — Premier League .

Astana FK 0 games · 0 pts
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Astana FK 4.00

Draw 3.40

Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2.10

Head-to-Head

Astana FK 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Last 5 meetings

2016-04-30 Astana FK 0–3 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2015-11-29 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–1 Astana FK 2015-01-01 Qarabağ Ağdam FK 1–1 Astana FK 2014-12-02 Astana FK 1–2 Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Recent Form

Astana FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Apr	Qarabağ Ağdam FK	H	0–3	L
25 Apr	Valletta FC	A	1–1	D
21 Apr	Helsingin JK	A	0–2	L
16 Apr	The New Saints FC	H	0–1	L
09 Apr	Crusaders FC	A	1–2	L
02 Apr	FC Midtjylland	A	0–0	D

Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Apr	Astana FK	A	3–0	W
20 Apr	The New Saints FC	H	3–1	W
17 Apr	KF Shkendija 79	A	2–2	D
09 Apr	Helsingin JK	H	3–3	D
02 Apr	Cork City FC	H	2–2	D
19 Mar	FK Suduva Marijampole	A	2–2	D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Astana FK launch into their encounter with Qarabag Agdam FK.
0-3 the final result. Astana FK will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Astana FK Lineups

Qarabağ Ağdam FK Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

0.97 Astana FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Astana FK24% Draw27% Qarabağ Ağdam FK49%

Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Astana FK or Draw

52%

Draw or Qarabağ Ağdam FK

76%

Astana FK or Qarabağ Ağdam FK

73%

Half-Time Result

Astana FK17% Draw47% Qarabağ Ağdam FK36%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

0 – 1

11.2%

0 – 2

9.6%

0 – 0

9.4%

1 – 2

9.2%

1 – 0

6.2%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

2 – 2

4.5%

2 – 0

3.4%

2 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Astana FK

Handicap	Astana FK covers	Push	Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	23%	28%
+1.5	72%	—	28%
+2	72%	16%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Astana FK keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.