Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Shelbourne FC, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 2

Wed 30 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs Shelbourne FCChampions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Shelbourne FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Shelbourne FC H 1–0 W
23 Jul Shelbourne FC A 3–0 W
30 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–3 L
23 Jan FCSB Bukarest H 2–3 L
12 Dec IF Elfsborg A 0–1 L
28 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jul Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 0–1 L
23 Jul Qarabağ Ağdam FK H 0–3 L
16 Jul Linfield FC A 1–1 D
09 Jul Linfield FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Shelbourne FC has kicked off!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ellis Chapman is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shelbourne FC.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Qarabağ Ağdam FK that had 252 games and scored 141 goals.
  • 20' Matheus Silva has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 327 appearances.
  • 25' Qarabağ Ağdam FK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Shelbourne FC backline.
  • 35' Shelbourne FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Shelbourne FC's shape.
  • 44' John Martin makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Shelbourne FC are in front.
  • 49' The -year-old Evan Caffrey has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' Kerr McInroy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Qarabağ Ağdam FK so far.
  • 59' James Norris has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Shelbourne FC — Sean Boyd on, Ademipo Odubeko off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Shelbourne FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 69' Qarabag Agdam FK receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 72' A change in the Shelbourne FC ranks — James Norris exits the field as Evan Caffrey enters on 72.
  • 73' Samy Mmaee gets the nod from Qarabag Agdam FK. He replaces Kevin Medina and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 80' The Qarabag Agdam FK manager makes a substitution. Kady Borges departs to be replaced by Oleksiy Kashchuk.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Sean Boyd. He receives a card.
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Medina, as he is very good at scoring at Tofig Bakhramov with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kameron Ledwidge.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Kelly is booked for Shelbourne FC — card on 89.
  • Shelbourne FC will have plenty to reflect on. Qarabağ Ağdam FK were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Qarabağ Ağdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Shelbourne FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabağ Ağdam FK52% Draw27% Shelbourne FC21%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Draw
79%
Draw or Shelbourne FC
48%
Qarabağ Ağdam FK or Shelbourne FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Qarabağ Ağdam FK33% Draw50% Shelbourne FC17%
Actual: Qarabağ Ağdam FK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Qarabağ Ağdam FK

Handicap Qarabağ Ağdam FK covers Push Shelbourne FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Qarabağ Ağdam FK keeps clean sheet
42%
Shelbourne FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.