Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Tue 7 Apr 2026 · 09:00 UTC AAMI Park 3,211 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andreas Kuen 22' 1–0
Andrew Nabbout 67' 2–0
2–1 90+4' Ali Auglah

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Meimarakis
  • Assistant 2 Luke Gennimatas (Australia)
  • 4th Official Jonathon Barreiro

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Central Coast Mariners FC H 2–1 W
04 Apr Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 3–0 W
22 Mar Perth Glory FC A 1–1 D
17 Mar Sydney FC A 1–0 W
28 Feb Auckland FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Melbourne City FC A 1–2 L
04 Apr Perth Glory FC H 2–2 D
21 Mar Melbourne Victory FC A 1–4 L
14 Mar Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Macarthur FC A 3–1 W
28 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#6 Position #9
38 Points 32
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
33 Scored 35
33 Conceded 42
+0 GD -7
1.46 PPG 1.23
38% Win % 31%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC53% Draw25% Central Coast Mariners FC22%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
47%
Melbourne City FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC36% Draw44% Central Coast Mariners FC20%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.