Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Coritiba FBC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Oct | America FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 5 |
| 20 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| -3 | GD | +2 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 28% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Grêmio FBPA welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a Yellow card on 22.
- 27' Luis Suarez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 141 goals in his last 513 appearances.
- 31' EC Bahia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 31.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' Everaldo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Thaciano on 45 minutes.
- 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Bruno Uvini exits the field as Everton enters on 46.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Grêmio FBPA in their trying to find a way past EC Bahia's compact .
- 56' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 64' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cicinho on 64 minutes.
- 67' The whistle greets Franco Cristaldo as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Besozzi.
- 70' GOAL! Luis Suarez scores on 70. Assisted by Lucas Besozzi
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felipe Carballo suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Gabriel Teixeira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yago Felipe at the 77 minute mark.
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Cauly.
- 84' Nata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Suarez at the 84 minute mark.
- 86' Luciano Juba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Camilo Candido on 86 minute.
- 87' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Cauly exits the field as Rafael Ratao enters on 87.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Bruno Alves on 90 minutes.
- With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 34
- 6
- 9
- 11
- 18
- 19
- 20
- –
- 12
- 8
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 2
- 10
- 22
- –
- 77
- –
- 54
- 32
- –
- –
- –
Coach
Renato Gaucho
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 28
-
20
Yago Felipe ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 77'
- –
-
8
Cauly ↓ Rafael Ratao 87'
-
40
Cicinho ↓ Vitor Jacare 67'
- 9
- 33
- 26
- 5
-
–
Camilo Candido ↓ Luciano Juba 86'
-
3
Gabriel Xavier ↓ Marcos Victor 86'
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 18
- 19
-
11
Rafael Ratao ↑ 87'
-
29
Vitor Jacare ↑ 67'
- 21
-
–
Luciano Juba ↑ 86'
- 77
- 79
-
10
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 77'
-
44
Marcos Victor ↑ 86'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Arthur Caike | 1 |
| Rai Nascimento | 1 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Bahia
50%
Grêmio FBPA or EC Bahia
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.