America FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

America FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Grêmio FBPA

Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 75' Joao Pedro Pepe

Y 90' Gabriel Chapeco

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Independencia.

America FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

America FC 7 games · Avg 3.0 goals Grêmio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-28 America FC 3–4 Grêmio FBPA 2023-06-22 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 America FC 2021-11-13 America FC 3–1 Grêmio FBPA 2021-07-24 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 America FC 2018-10-20 America FC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

America FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Grêmio FBPA	H	3–4	L
25 Oct	CA Paranaense	A	2–3	L
22 Oct	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	1–1	D
18 Oct	Botafogo FR	H	1–2	L
08 Oct	Fortaleza EC	A	2–3	L
01 Oct	Cruzeiro EC	A	1–1	D

Grêmio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	America FC	A	4–3	W
26 Oct	CR Flamengo	H	3–2	W
21 Oct	Sao Paulo FC	A	0–3	L
18 Oct	CA Paranaense	H	1–2	L
08 Oct	SC Internacional	A	2–3	L
30 Sep	Fortaleza EC	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. America FC is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
3' What a strike from Rodriguinho! The score is 1-0.
8' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juninho made 161 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
17' What a strike from Reinaldo! The score is 1-1.
20' Sensational shot from Everton. Gremio FBPA is back in the lead.
25' America FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
35' What a strike from Gonzalo Mastriani! The score is 2-2.
40' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
45' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
46' Time for substitution for America FC. Marlon is replaced by Nicolas Vichiatto.
49' GOAL! Gonzalo Mastriani scores on 49. Assisted by Martin Benitez
52' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 52 minute. Lucas Besozzi leaves to be changed by Fabio.
57' It looks surprising America FC does not make any changes. Ale has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
63' Eder Ferreira is replacing Nicolas Vichiatto for the America FC side.
68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
71' What an equalizer from Luis Suarez!
73' Breno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Martin Benitez on 73 minute.
75' The referee calls foul for Joao Pedro Pepe. He receives a Yellow card.
78' Gremio FBPA is taking the lead after the goal scored by Franco Cristaldo on 78.
80' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Geromel is hanging Franco Cristaldo on the field on 80 minute.
84' Time for substitution for America FC. Danilo Avelar is replaced by Juan Cazares.
87' Joao Pedro Galvao is replacing Luis Suarez for the Gremio FBPA side.
88' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Joao Pedro Pepe is replaced by Josue Souza.
90' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Chapeco. He receives a Yellow card.
The final score is 3-4.

Lineups

America FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabian Bustos

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

3
Geromel ↑ 80'
7
Luan
31
Caique
2
Fabio ↑ 52'
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 87'
10
Ferreira ↑ 52'
77
Andre
–
Nata
–
Wesley
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 52'
–
Josue Souza ↑ 88'
–
Caio

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Felipe Azevedo	2
Gonzalo Mastriani	2
Juninho	2
Luis Suarez	2
Mathias Villasanti	1
Everton	1
Bitelo	1
Everton	1

Head to Head

America FC Form

2023-10-28 America FC 3–4 Grêmio FBPA L 2023-10-25 CA Paranaense 3–2 America FC L 2023-10-22 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–1 America FC D 2023-10-18 America FC 1–2 Botafogo FR L 2023-10-08 Fortaleza EC 3–2 America FC L 2023-10-01 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 America FC D

Grêmio FBPA Form

2023-10-28 America FC 3–4 Grêmio FBPA W 2023-10-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–2 CR Flamengo W 2023-10-21 Sao Paulo FC 3–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2023-10-18 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 CA Paranaense L 2023-10-08 SC Internacional 3–2 Grêmio FBPA L 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.79 America FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.77 Grêmio FBPA xG

I would bet for: America FC or Grêmio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

America FC37% Draw26% Grêmio FBPA37%

Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Grêmio FBPA

63%

America FC or Grêmio FBPA

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

America FC30% Draw40% Grêmio FBPA30%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 0

4.5%

1 – 3

4.5%

0 – 2

4.5%

0 – 1

4.4%

0 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

4.1%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap	America FC covers	Push	Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.