EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Coritiba FBC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Jun | America FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 May | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #16 |
| 26 | Points | 21 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 41% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Grêmio FBPA get us underway at .
- 5' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 9' What a strike from Franco Cristaldo! The score is 0-1.
- 14' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 14.
- 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marcos Felipe is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Grêmio FBPA.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Vinicius Mingotti gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 25' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
- 32' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Joao Pedro.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nicolas Acevedo.
- 42' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 47' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
- 52' EC Bahia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 62' Rezende has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 65' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Kayky is replaced by Ademir Santos on 65 minute.
- 67' Walter Kannemann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 67.
- 68' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cuiabano is hanging Franco Cristaldo on the field on 68 minute.
- 69' EC Bahia receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 74' Cicinho is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
- 75' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Vina on, Luis Suarez off on 75 minutes.
- 76' EC Bahia make a change. Rezende trudges off to be replaced by Diego Rosa on 76 minutes.
- 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Grêmio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gustavo Martins makes it 1-2.
- 90' Cicinho was booked on 90.
- 90' Ferreira gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Felipe Carballo and will look to change the dynamic.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 75'
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Ademir Santos 65'
-
–
Rezende ↓ Diego Rosa 76'
- –
Bench
-
–
Ademir Santos ↑ 65'
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↑ 75'
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
17
Diego Rosa ↑ 76'
- –
- –
- –
- –
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- –
-
8
Luis Suarez ↓ Vina 76'
- –
-
–
Franco Cristaldo ↓ Cuiabano 68'
- 21
- –
- 34
- –
-
8
Felipe Carballo ↓ Ferreira 90'
- 39
Bench
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Mateo Sanabria | 1 |
| Fernandao | 1 |
| Danielzinho | 1 |
| Maicon | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.47
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
63%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
64%
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

