Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Cruzeiro EC
4 – 1
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Kaiki Bruno 8' Y
Y 52' Alex Santana
Y 56' Walter Kannemann
Christian 66' Y
Lucas Silva 83' Y
Gabriel Barbosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
3
5
Cruzeiro EC 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-10 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC 2023-08-27 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Cruzeiro EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 4–1 W
12 Jun EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
01 Jun SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
25 May Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
18 May CA Mineiro H 0–0 D
11 May SC Recife A 4–0 W
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Grêmio FBPA
#11 Position #16
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
6 / 6 / 6 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
24 Scored 20
28 Conceded 23
-4 GD -3
1.33 PPG 1.17
33% Win % 28%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Christian 5 G 3 A
Kaio Jorge 4 G
Matheus Pereira 3 G 2 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA get this one started.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 8' Poor challenge from Kaiki Bruno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leonardo Jardim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 18' Christian has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 373 appearances.
  • 21' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. William is replaced by Fagner.
  • 25' Kaio Jorge adds to his 3 season tally! Cruzeiro EC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' Lucas Villalba makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Cruzeiro EC are in front.
  • 38' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Francis Amuzu is withdrawn and Alexander Aravena gets his opportunity.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Cruzeiro EC in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
  • 52' Poor challenge from Alex Santana. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 54' GOAL! Kaio Jorge scores on 54. Assisted by Matheus Pereira
  • 56' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
  • 60' Andre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matias Arezo at the 60 minute mark.
  • 64' The Brazil Andre breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 3-1!
  • 66' Christian was booked on 66.
  • 71' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 76' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 77' A goal from the Brazil international Kaio Jorge! He fires home on 77 to make it 4-1!
  • 79' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Alysson by Miguel Monsalve on 79 minute.
  • 83' Lucas Silva catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Walace comes on to replace Lucas Romero.
  • 88' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Gabriel Barbosa gets a card.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Cruzeiro EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leonardo Jardim

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Kaio Jorge 3
Lucas Villalba 1
Bruno Silva 1
Joao Pedro Pepe 1
Andre 1
Felipe Carballo 1
Fabricio Bruno 1

Head to Head

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2024-07-10 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC 2023-08-27 Grêmio FBPA 3–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA

Cruzeiro EC Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-06-12 EC Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-06-01 Cruzeiro EC 2–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-05-25 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-05-18 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2025-05-11 SC Recife 0–4 Cruzeiro EC W

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-05-25 Grêmio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC54% Draw24% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
78%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
46%
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC37% Draw44% Grêmio FBPA19%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.