Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .
- Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | CS Alagoano | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Apr | Santos FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | CA Mineiro | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Dec | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #16 |
| 24 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 6 / 6 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 24 | Scored | 20 |
| 28 | Conceded | 23 |
| -4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 33% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
Cruzeiro EC are 11th (24 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 4 G | |
| Matheus Pereira | 3 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Cruzeiro EC launch into their encounter with Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Walter Kannemann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 20' It’s high time Renato Gaucho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Cruzeiro EC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Cruzeiro EC in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ramiro on 36.
- 41' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 43' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gilberto on 43 minutes.
- 48' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Richard suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Suarez is booked for Gremio FBPA — Yellow card on 49.
- 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Ramiro is replaced by Machado on 58 minute.
- 58' Richard is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' Oliveira has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
- 59' Machado is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ramiro at the 59 minute mark.
- 60' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a Yellow card on 60.
- 64' Bruno Rodrigues is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Marlon is booked for Cruzeiro EC — Yellow card on 67.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 68.
- 73' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 73 minutes.
- 76' The whistle greets Richard as he departs to be replaced by Neto Moura.
- 79' Andre gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Vinicius and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Vinicius is replaced by Zinho.
- 81' The whistle greets Nathan as he departs to be replaced by Zinho.
- 82' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Mateus Vital trudges off to be replaced by Luiz Wallisson on 82 minutes.
- 86' Franco Cristaldo makes way for Gustavinho at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 87' Franco Cristaldo makes way for Gustavinho at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 90' A moment of madness from Oliveira on 90 minutes earns him a Red card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- Another three points for Cruzeiro EC.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Mateus Vital ↓ Luiz Wallisson 82'
- 3
-
10
Nikao ↓ Rafael Bilu 58'
- 12
- 1
- 4
- 9
- 21
- 17
-
25
Richard ↓ Neto Moura 76'
- 26
Bench
-
8
Neto Moura ↑ 76'
- 27
-
31
Rafael Bilu ↑ 58'
- 11
- 33
-
23
Machado ↑ 58'
-
22
Stenio Toledo ↑ 58'
- 18
- 98
-
5
Luiz Wallisson ↑ 82'
- 16
Coach
Pepa
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Everton 87'
- 4
- 7
- 11
- 34
- 6
- 9
- 18
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↓ Gustavinho 86'
- 12
- 39
Bench
- 37
-
17
Gustavinho ↑ 86'
- 15
- 31
- 41
- 58
-
13
Everton ↑ 87'
-
48
Zinho ↑ 79'
- 46
- 45
-
77
Andre ↑ 79'
- 36
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Everton | 3 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Pepe | 1 |
| Lucas Romero | 1 |
| Ferreira | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
66%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
64%
Cruzeiro EC or Grêmio FBPA
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12%
0 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

